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  • 6
    May
    2012
    2:35pm, EDT

    Paul wins majority of delegates from Maine GOP

    By The Associated Press

    With Romney's nomination all but decided, Ron Paul supporters wrested control of the Maine Republican Convention and elected a majority slate supporting the Texas congressman to the GOP national convention, party officials said as the two-day convention neared its end Sunday. The results gave the Texas congressman a late state victory. 

    The names of 15 at-large delegates from Maine to the GOP nominating convention in Tampa, Fla., were posted Sunday as votes for the other delegation seats remained undecided. Maine is allotted a total of 24 delegates to the national convention. 

    "It's certainly a significant victory," said Jim Azzola of South Portland, Cumberland County coordinator for Paul. The votes were to become finalized when the convention closes. 

    Paul, the last challenger to remain in the contest, finished a close second behind Romney in Maine's GOP caucuses in February but those results were nonbinding. Not everyone, however, had a chance to cast a ballot before the results were announced. A snowstorm forced the cancellation of some caucuses including one in a Paul stronghold. Romney won the February straw poll with 39 percent of the vote to Paul's 36 percent. Santorum trailed with 18 percent and Gingrich got 6 percent. 

    Romney's aides say they do not view Paul as a threat to winning the nomination. But Romney and his team have also been mindful not to do or say anything that might anger Paul's loyal supporters. 

    "I think he's being very careful because he knows how important the Ron Paul voters are — they obviously represent a very different dynamic," said Mike Dennehy, a former top aide to Republican John McCain's 2008 campaign. "They are the most passionate and the most frustrated of any voters heading to the polls. And many of them are independents." 

    In the 2008 contest, Romney won 52 percent of the Maine caucuses, more than double John McCain's 21 percent and Paul's 19 percent. But McCain left the 2008 state convention with 20 delegates, leaving Paul with one. Three were uncommitted. 

    Saturday's turn of events in a neighboring state to where Romney served as governor would indicate the GOP has not yet united behind the presumptive nominee, and there are indications the infighting may last all the way to the national convention. 

    Paul supporters accused the Romney crowd Saturday of dirty tricks to garner more delegates. "We came here to see democracy in action. We are floored by what happened, absolutely floored to see the cheating," said Elizabeth Shardlow of Auburn, a Paul activist. 

    Charles Cragin, a Romney supporter who lost Saturday's bid to chair the convention, called the turn of events at the Maine convention "bizarre." Cragin said the Paul-led delegation may not be recognized at the national convention because of violations of rules of procedure this weekend in Augusta. 

    "They have so phenomenally screwed this up that they will go to Tampa and not be seated," Cragin said. 

    Another Romney supporter, delegate John Carson of Kittery, acknowledged "this is a split convention." 

    "The Paul supporters have had a successful process and should be congratulated on that," said Carson, a veteran of numerous state conventions. "I think it's important that the Romney camp and Paul camp come together and support a single candidate," Carson said, adding that candidate should be Romney.

    © 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

    277 comments

    Ron Paul 2012!

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  • 6
    Apr
    2012
    1:58pm, EDT

    Yep, that happened: A tribute to the 2012 Republican primary

     

    By Michael O'Brien, msnbc.com
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    April 27, 2011 – Obama releases long-form birth certificate

    In an effort to put questions of his eligibility for the White House to rest, President Obama releases his long-form birth certificate. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.

    The White House released President Barack Obama’s so-called “long form” birth certificate last April, primarily in response to provocations by Donald Trump, the real estate magnate and reality TV host who had flirted with a bid for the Republican nomination. Trump actually spent a brief period of time atop the polls versus the rest of the fledgling GOP field. Obama decried “carnival barkers” in remarks upon the release of his birth certificate, and Trump faded in the polls before deciding to run for president.

    May 15, 2011 – Gingrich calls Ryan plan ‘right-wing social engineering’

    Former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich, R-Ga., said, "I don't think right-wing social engineering is any more desirable than left-wing social engineering" to explain why he thinks Rep. Paul Ryan's, R-Wis., plan is "too big a jump."

    Having just launched his campaign for president, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich appeared on “Meet the Press,” where he faced a question about Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan’s new budget. The plan had been under attack by Democrats who asserted Republicans would end Medicare as it’s currently known by most Americans. 

    “I don't think right-wing social engineering is any more desirable than left-wing social engineering,” Gingrich said of the plan. It prompted immediate backlash from conservatives who supported the plan. Ryan himself quipped: "With allies like that, who needs the left?" – a line rival campaigns would use later against the former speaker.

    May 31, 2011 – Palin and Trump grab a slice

    Sarah Palin's bus tour brought her to Times Square on Tuesday, and she and pal Donald Trump dined on New York City chain pizza. And in other water cooler news, Jon Stewart weighs in on Weinergate.

    At this point in the 2012 cycle, whether Sarah Palin would be throwing her hat in the ring for the GOP nomination was a persistant, lingering question.

    Her bus tour through the Northeast, which stopped in New Hampshire the same day Mitt Romney formally launched his candidacy in the state, only stoked speculation that Palin would make a run for the White House.

    But the most press-frenzied moment of her trip came on May 31, when Palin’s tour bus rolled into Manhattan. She met Donald Trump, who had announced that he would not be a candidate for president, for a slice at a New York pizzeria while a throng of media observed from the outside.

    June 9, 2011 – Gingrich suffers mass resignations

    Jason Minick / AP

    Republican presidential candidate, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, speaks during the Pennsylvania Leadership Conference in Camp Hill, Pa., Saturday March 24, 2012.

    With his campaign reeling from the scrape with Paul Ryan, revelations that Gingrich had enjoyed a six-figure line of credit with the jeweler Tiffany & Co., and an ill-timed vacation to Greece, a throng of the former speaker’s top aides resigned all at once. The resignations prompted speculation in the media about when – not if – Gingrich would be forced to end his campaign.

    June 13, 2011 – Pawlenty passes on ‘Obamneycare’

    Top Talkers: The Morning Joe panel – including Random House's Jon Meacham and Fortune's Andy Serwer – discusses Monday night's GOP debate in New Hampshire and what mistakes Tim Pawlenty made.

    Tim Pawlenty had hoped to emerge as a major challenger to Mitt Romney this cycle, and a day before Republicans gathered for one of their earliest debates, the former Minnesota governor trotted out a new attack line against Romney.

    Pawlenty coined the term “Obamneycare” during an appearance on FOX News Sunday, a term meant to fuse the president’s health reform law, an unpopular plan with conservatives, and the similar law Romney had implemented while governor of Massachusetts.

    But just 24 hours later, Pawlenty declined to repeat that same attack while sharing the stage with Romney, and suffered a blow to his campaign. He would eventually drop out of the race after the Ames Straw Poll in August.

    Pawlenty went on to endorse Romney, though ironically, other Republican candidates have used the “Obamneycare” slur against Romney.

    Aug. 11, 2011 – ‘Corporations are people, my friend’

    James Hoffa, the president of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, says that GOP presidential candidate Gov. Mitt Romney's statement that people are corporations is "bizarre."

    Mitt Romney was widely expected to run for president again, but took a deliberately slow pace in getting his campaign up to full speed.

    Romney didn’t participate in the Ames Straw Poll, but he joined most of the other Republican candidates in the time-honored tradition of going to the Iowa State Fair. That included a soapbox speech for Romney, where he was met by a liberal heckler who pressed Romney on favorable treatment of corporations.

    “Corporations are people, my friend,” Romney blurted in response. The comment went viral immediately on Twitter, and Democrats quickly pounced to paint Romney as an ally of big business.

    Aug. 15, 2011 – Perry says printing more money is ‘almost treasonous’

    After jumping into the race, Rick Perry is already taking on the Federal Reserve saying printing more money would be "treasonous" and questioning President Obama's patriotism. NBC's Carrie Dann reports.

    After an incredibly hyped launch to his candidacy, Texas Gov. Rick Perry marched into Iowa with a schedule full of campaigning.

    To conclude his first full day on the trail, though, Perry seemed to suggest that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke would be acting treasonously if he were to authorize a more expansive monetary policy before the election. Moreover, Perry hinted that Bernanke would be treated poorly at the very least if he were in Texas.

    “If this guy prints more money between now and the election,” Perry said at a gathering in Cedar Rapids, “I don’t know what y’all would do to him in Iowa, but we — we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas. Printing more money to play politics at this particular time in American history is almost treacherous — or treasonous in my opinion."

    August 2011 – ‘9-9-9’

    In Detroit Friday, Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain introduced a new version of his 9-9-9 economic plan.

    Herman Cain debuted his catchphrase-based tax plan in August, and it would serve as a cornerstone of the former pizza magnate’s surge in the polls later in the fall. 

    The plan called for a radical restructuring of the tax code, replacing much of it with a nine percent tax each on individual income, corporate income and sales.

    The plan, and the number nine, would develop into Cain’s boilerplate response to most questions about his economic policy. Serious scrutiny of the plan suggested that it would blow a serious hole in the deficit, and Cain’s rivals attacked the introduction of a sales tax as a slippery slope that threatened abuse by the government. 

    Sept. 7, 2011 – Audience cheers Texas executions

    In Wednesday night's NBC News/Politico debate, GOP front-runners Rick Perry and Mitt Romney engaged early and often at the Reagan Presidential Library. NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports.

    At an NBC News debate in September – Rick Perry’s first – moderator Brian Williams posed a question to the Texas governor about the record number of prisoners executed during his time in office.

    When Williams noted the 234 executions, members of the audience broke out into applause regarding the question, which was intended to ask Perry whether he had any doubt about whether any of those prisoners might have been innocent. 

    "But in the state of Texas, if you come into our state and you kill one of our children, you kill a police officer, you're involved with another crime and you kill one of our citizens, you will face the ultimate justice in the state of Texas, and that is, you will be executed,” Perry said, earning more applause from the audience. 

    When pressed by Williams on the crowd reaction, Perry added: "I think Americans understand justice. I think Americans are clearly, in the vast majority of cases, supportive of capital punishment."

    The strong reaction from the crowd set the tone for a number of debates during the primary season, where reactions from the audience - in part - framed perception of the candidates on TV.

    Sept. 13, 2011 – Bachmann says HPV vaccine causes 'retardation'

    Rep. Michele Bachmann, who has reignited the debate over the HPV vaccine during her presidential campaign, has come under fire for claiming it has "dangerous" side effects and may cause mental retardation. 

     

    The morning following a presidential debate, Bachmann appeared on the TODAY show and suggested that the vaccine for the Human Papilloma Virus might be linked to intellectual disabilities.

    Her poll numbers tarnished by Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who had mandated the vaccine for young women during his time in office, Bachmann attacked Perry for forcing the vaccine on young women.

    But on the TODAY show, Bachmann went a step further. “I had a mother last night come up to me here in Tampa, Fla., after the debate,” she said. “She told me that her little daughter took that vaccine, that injection, and she suffered from mental retardation thereafter ... This is a very real concern and people have to draw their own conclusions.”

    Sept. 23, 2011 – Debate audience boos gay soldier

    Thomas Roberts talks with MSNBC'S Chris Hayes about how audience members at Thursday's GOP debate in Florida responded to a question from openly-gay soldier Stephen Hill.

    A Republican debate in mid-September featured some questions submitted to the candidates by YouTube users.

    One such question came from a member of the U.S. military who was gay, just days after the military’s “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” policy had ended.

    “In 2010, when I was deployed to Iraq, I had to lie about who I was, because I’m a gay soldier, and I didn’t want to lose my job,” said Stephen Hill, whose image was projected on a large TV screen in the debate hall. “My question is, under one of your presidencies, do you intend to circumvent the progress that’s been made for gay and lesbian soldiers in the military?”

    The question was met with some loud boos from members of the audience, which came on the heels of their controversial reaction to the execution of prisoners in Texas just a couple of weeks earlier.

    Oct. 8, 2011 – ‘Ubeki-beki-beki-beki-stan-stan’

    From pizza executive to top-tier GOP presidential hopeful, Herman Cain's stock is on the rise. NBC's Kelly O'Donnell has more on Cain and his 9-9-9 plan.

    Herman Cain began to surge in the polls in early October, and started to receive more serious questioning about his views, especially foreign policy.

    Cain had emphasized his 9-9-9 tax plan as the primary element of his candidacy, and admittedly said that he would leave foreign policy to advisers.

    “I’m ready for the ‘gotcha’ questions and they’re already starting to come. And when they ask me who is the president of Ubeki-beki-beki-beki-stan-stan I’m going to say, 'You know, I don’t know. Do you know?' And then I’m going to say, 'how’s that going to create one job?'” he told the Christian Broadcast Network.

    The interview led to even more pointed questioning of Cain’s foreign policy views and a more aggressive vetting of the former pizza executive’s record in the press. 

    Oct. 18, 2011 – ‘I’m running for office, for Pete’s sake!’

    Chuck has all of the highlights of last night's hard hits at the debate.

    At the height of his battle against a surging Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Mitt Romney called into question Perry’s toughness on illegal immigrants given the law Perry had signed granting in-state tuition to the children of illegal immigrants who attended colleges and universities in Texas.

    Perry turned the line of attack against Romney, saying the former Massachusetts governor had hired a lawn care company for his home that had employed illegal immigrants. Romney offered an explanation, albeit an inartful one that made him seem like a political opportunist.

    "So we went to the company, and we said, 'Look, you can't have any illegals working on our property,” Romney said. “I'm running for office, for Pete's sake! I can't have illegals!'”

    Nov. 7, 2011 – Sharon Bialek accuses Herman Cain of harassment

    A fourth woman, Sharon Bialek, came forward with new allegations of sexual harassment against Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain at a press conference on Monday. Cain denied these accusations. NBC's Kelly O'Donnell has more.

    After climbing his way to the top of the polls of Republican presidential contenders, various media outlets reported that Cain, during his time as head of the National Restaurant Association, had been forced to settle at least two claims of sexual harassment against him.

    The accusers remained anonymous, and Cain vehemently denied having ever acted inappropriately (and still does today).

    Nonetheless, it was the eventual emergence of Sharon Bialek, with the assistance of celebrity lawyer Gloria Allred, who put a public face to the accusations against Cain. Bialek offered graphic descriptions of her allegations, which added fuel to the fire that had engulfed the Cain campaign. The former Godfathers Pizza CEO would suspend his campaign just a few weeks later.

    Nov. 9, 2011 – ‘Oops.’

    Rick Perry stole the spotlight at the GOP presidential debate Wednesday night, when he was unable to remember which of three government agencies he would abolish. NBC's Chuck Todd has more.

    Maybe no single word is more associated with Rick Perry’s bid for the presidential nomination than “oops.”

    The Texas governor had received a great deal of scrutiny for his poor performances in debates, where he minced words and appeared fatigued at points. His stumbling answer to a question regarding his plan to eliminate three government agencies crystalized that narrative and virtually crippled his candidacy.

    “Commerce, Education and the  — what’s the third one there? Let’s see,” Perry said, pausing.

    "The third agency of government I would do away with – the Education, the Commerce. And let's see. I can't. The third one, I can't. Oops."

    Nov. 9, 2011 – Gingrich says he served Freddie Mac as a ‘historian’

    Roll Call's Stu Rothenberg and MSNBC political analyst Jonathan Alter debate whether Newt Gingrich's Freddie Mac connection will cause him to fall in the polls.

    After Newt Gingrich had begun to surge again in the polls, Mitt Romney’s campaign countered by digging up the former speaker’s work for troubled mortgage giant Freddie Mac.

    At a debate in Michigan, Gingrich explained his paid contract with Freddie Mac by denying having ever lobbied for the company. Instead, the ex-speaker asserted, he had consulted with the company in his capacity as a historian.

    “I have never done any lobbying, every contract that was written during the period when I was out of the office specifically said I would do no lobbying, and I offered advice. And my advice as a historian, when they walked in and said to me, we are now making loans to people who have no credit history and have no record of paying back anything, but that's what the government wants us to do, is I said  — I said to them at the time: This is a bubble. This is insane. This is impossible,” he said.” 

    Nov. 14, 2011 – Cain: ‘I got all this stuff twirling around in my head’

    Republican presidential hopeful Herman Cain stumbled on the campaign trail Monday when asked about Libya by the editorial board of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. NBC's Kelly O'Donnell reports.

    Besieged by accusations of sexual harassment, Herman Cain hardly made matters better for his campaign during a sit-down interview with the editors of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

    When asked about his position on President Obama’s management of the uprising in Libya last year, Cain appeared taken off-guard by the question and not immediately familiar with the president’s policy. His answer was captured on video.

    "I do not agree with the way he handled it for the following reason — nope, that's a different one. [pause] I gotta go back and see," he said. "I got all this stuff twirling around in my head. Specifically, what are you asking me that I agree or not disagree with Obama?" 

    Dec. 10, 2011 – The $10,000 bet

    Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney is under fire for challenging rival Rick Perry to a $10,000 bet during the last GOP presidential debate, a move that highlighted his huge wealth. NBC's Kristen Welker reports.

    Another spat between Mitt Romney and Rick Perry at a Republican debate in December led to a cringe-worthy moment.

    The Texas governor asserted that Romney had removed a passage expressing support for health care mandates in the paperback edition of his book. Romney insisted that was not the case, and was so confident in his stance that he offered Perry a wager.

    "Rick, I'll tell you what — $10,000 bucks, $10,000 bet," Romney said, extending his hand to shake Perry’s. (The Texan declined.)

    The moment provided fodder for Romney’s foes, Republican and Democratic, to underscore his wealth — painting him as the type of person who could casually bet ten large.

    Jan. 19, 2012 – Gingrich angrily rebuffs ‘open marriage’ question

    At Thursday's Republican presidential debate in South Carolina, Newt Gingrich slammed the news media for focusing on accusations by his ex-wife that he requested an "open marriage." NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

    Newt Gingrich was sure to face a question at this pivotal debate before the South Carolina about the allegations leveled by one of his ex-wives that Gingrich, while he was speaker of the House, had requested an “open marriage,” or otherwise wanted a divorce.

    The allegations cut directly to the questions of character that rivals of Gingrich sought to stoke.

    But when CNN anchor John King asked the question to open the South Carolina debate, the ex-speaker showed a flash of anger in response.

    "The destructive, vicious, negative nature of much of the news media makes it harder to govern this country, harder to attract decent people to run for public office, and I am appalled that you would begin a presidential debate on a topic like that," he said, earning raucous applause.

    The response was so effective that none of Gingrich’s rivals piled on, all declining to comment on the allegations against Gingrich.

    Jan. 25, 2012 – Gingrich pledges lunar colony by 2020

    Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich said on Florida's space coast that if he is elected president he will create a moon colony by 2020.

    Fresh off his upstart victory in the South Carolina primary, Newt Gingrich sought to challenge Mitt Romney one-on-one in the succeeding primary in Florida.

    The former House speaker campaigned through the state, including a stop in its hard-hit Space Coast – where he causally suggested one of his most “grandiose” ideas of the campaign.

    "By the end of my second term, we will have the first permanent base on the moon. And it will be American," Gingrich told a crowd, prompting guffaws from the media and rival campaigns. Romney would eventually win Florida by a healthy margin. 

    Feb. 1, 2012 – ‘I’m not concerned about the very poor’

    Just how big of a deal is Mitt Romney's comment about the country's "very poor"? Will Democrats seize on this remark and paint Romney as being out of touch with the country? Former DLC chairman Harold Ford Jr. joins a conversation on Romney's latest gaffe.

    Continuing an alarming string of gaffes after major primary wins, Mitt Romney gave an interview the day after winning the Florida primary in which he seemed to shrug off helping the poor.

    "I'm in this race because I care about Americans. I'm not concerned about the very poor. We have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I'll fix it," Romney said on CNN. "I'm not concerned about the very rich, they're doing just fine. I'm concerned about the very heart of the America, the 90 percent, 95 percent of Americans who right now are struggling."

    While the comment was meant to emphasize the focus of the Romney campaign on the middle class, the remark had major reverberations and forced an explanation from the campaign. Romney would have to continue to toil for weeks before gaining a stronger grip on the nomination.

    Feb. 24, 2012 – Romney’s Ford Field speech

    Scott Olson / Getty Images

    Members of the Detroit Economic club gather to hear a speech by Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney during a luncheon at Ford Field on February 24, 2012 in Detroit, Michigan.

    Mitt Romney returned to Michigan, the state where he was born and raised, to deliver what had been billed as a major economic address at Ford Field, the downtown home of the Detroit Lions.

    But when the press arrived to the stadium, it was mostly empty except for some risers and about 1,000 seats for the members of the Detroit Economic Club in attendance. Romney’s speech and their applause echoed throughout the cavernous sports complex, making for poor optics for the speech.

    The event was originally intended to be held in a hotel ballroom. But when tickets sold out in less than an hour, a larger venue was needed. Unfortunately, the one selected couldn't possibly be filled.

    Making matters worse, in a question-and-answer session following his remarks, Romney pivoted to talk about his love for cars, and the American cars he and his wife owned.

    “I drive a Mustang and Chevy pickup truck. Ann drives a couple of Cadillacs, actually," he said, again inviting critics to highlight his personal wealth. 

    Feb. 26, 2012 – Santorum says JFK speech made him sick

    GOP candidate Rick Santorum criticizes JFK's famous church-state speech and defends the role of religion in American politics.

    Amid a very tough battle against Mitt Romney in Michigan, Rick Santorum faced fresh questioning about whether he stood by remarks he made the preceding year, when he said he “almost threw up” after reading John F. Kennedy’s speech on the separation of church and state.

    "Well, yes, absolutely,” Santorum said on ABC when asked whether the speech really made him ill. “To say that people of faith have no role in the public square? You bet that makes you throw up. What kind of country do we live that says only people of non-faith can come into the public square and make their case? That makes me throw up.”

    The comment came at a point when social issues had reached the forefront of the campaign, driven by a nationwide debate over coverage for contraceptives, and whether religious institutions’ insurers should be exempted from a requirement to cover birth control.

    March 21, 2012 – Etch A Sketch

    NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro discuss the feeding frenzy over Romney's aide's Etch A Sketch comment.

    The day after winning the Illinois primary by a commanding margin, a top aide to Mitt Romney appeared on CNN and likened the candidate’s pivot to the general election to erasing an Etch A Sketch.

    “Well, I think you hit a reset button for the fall campaign. Everything changes,” adviser Eric Fehrnstrom said. “It's almost like an Etch a Sketch. You can kind of shake it up and we start all over again.”

    Democrats and Romney’s Republican rivals quickly pounced on the gaffe. Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich each showed up to campaign events throughout the day with the children’s toy in tow, and reference to the moment was incorporated into one of Vice President Biden’s later campaign speeches.

    Romney had to react quickly to control the damage, hastily arranging a one-question press conference to mitigate the fallout.

    "I'm running as a conservative Republican," he told reporters in Maryland. "I'll be running as a conservative Republican nominee."

    Mar. 25, 2012 – Santorum calls reporter’s question ‘bulls***’

    Mitt Romney is calling Rick Santorum's campaign "unhinged" after Santorum cursed out a New York Times reporter.

    The odds growing that he would become the Republican nominee, Rick Santorum suggested at a campaign stop in late March that giving President Obama a second term would be better than electing Mitt Romney.

    When asked by a New York Times reporter about the remark, Santorum reacted angrily.

    "Quit distorting my words," Santorum said in Wisconsin. "If I see it, it's bulls---."

    The rival Romney campaign played up the comment to portray Santorum’s campaign as having come off the rails.

    660 comments

    Job security for comedians.

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  • 3
    Apr
    2012
    7:57pm, EDT

    Paul to make play for Texas, California

    By NBC's Anthony Terrell
    Follow @AnthonyNBCNews

     

    Whatever happened to Ron Paul? Remember him?

    Beginning tonight at California State University, Chico, Paul will accelerate the pace of his campaign and attempt to become part of the national conversation once again. Over the next 40 days Paul will hold rallies at 16 college campuses across the country -- a majority of them in California and Texas -- with plans of adding several more stops before schools adjourn for the summer. 

    Universities have been a friendly atmosphere for the 76-year-old presidential hopeful who attracts thousands of people to his rallies but who has yet to win a single statewide GOP contest.

    “You have to reach out to more people than the Republican base,” Paul told WMAL Radio on Monday. “We’re going to have big turnouts in places where no other Republican can go. I’m going to go to Berkeley.”

    Paul will hold a campaign rally on that campus Thursday -- not a typical stop for Republican presidential candidates.

    According to Paul’s campaign chairman Jesse Benton, that’s the point. “Part of the reason we are going to college campuses is to register people. There are congressional districts we can win and we hope to register thousands of young people for the California primary.”

    The deadline to register to vote for California’s June 5 presidential primary is May 21, and the campaign hopes the passionate young supporters they register will help Paul win a portion of the state’s 159 delegates –- which will be allocated based on the primary results in each of the 53 congressional districts.

    The campaign is also focusing its efforts in Paul’s home state of Texas, which holds the second-largest number of delegates, scheduling six rallies at state universities. 

    Paul is also planning a statewide TV ad buy next week, six weeks ahead of the open primary on May 29. 

    Benton, who also resides in the Lone Star state, said Texans are “slow to embrace a moderate from Massachusetts and they want to vote for a Texan.”

    “We are going to push real hard to let them know they have a strong, fiscal conservative Texan in the race.”

    Benton said the campaign is adding staff in Texas and he will be heading up the state’s operation. 

    Looking even further down the calendar, Paul plans to speak at five state conventions in an effort to win over delegates to secure the minimum threshold needed to be nominated at the Republican National Convention in August. 

    “We don’t plan to get out of race until Dr. Paul is the nominee or someone else is the nominee,” Benton said. “The scores of people across the country want to vote for a constitutionalist, a real conservative, who can bring real change to the White House and they deserve to be heard.”

    That said, Paul has won just 34 delegates so far, according to NBC's count. Mitt Romney has 490, Rick Santorum 203, and Newt Gingrich 137.

    35 comments

    Ron Paul's in second in delegates.

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    Explore related topics: ron-paul, decision-2012, anthony-terrell
  • 22
    Mar
    2012
    8:08am, EDT

    Campaign grind takes toll on GOP candidates

     

    By The Associated Press

    It's a good thing the GOP presidential race slows down from here: The candidates are even more tired than the voters. And, boy, does it show.

    Mitt Romney, who scaled back his public schedule this week to get a break, has slept in his own bed just twice since Christmas. Rick Santorum's been making the kind of flubs that come with exhaustion. Newt Gingrich got caught sleeping on camera a few weeks back, and looked like he just might topple over.

    And then there's 76-year-old Ron Paul, last in the delegate hunt. The oldest candidate in the race, Paul is running a campaign that's a study in Ever. So. Slow. Pacing.

    Recommended: Santorum gave paid speeches during presidential campaign 

    Maybe that's why he seemed so chipper when he turned up on the "The Tonight Show" this week, chatting about an exercise regimen that "helps my brain relax" while the other candidates were scrambling for every last vote in Illinois.

    Does it matter if the candidates are exhausted? Oh, yeah.

    That's when they make mistakes, get testy and lose perspective. At best, they may just seem to be off stride, muffing key lines and sounding, well, tired.

    That can hurt, especially in an election year when the president is able to cruise into the general election without a primary fight. Barack Obama's still got a country to run, and he's already scheduling lots of fundraisers, but it's nothing like the pace of his opponents.

    In an odd sort of way, there can be an upside to the brutal grind of campaign life.

    "You do get the snot beaten out of you," Rep. Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann said after she dropped out of the race earlier this year. But she went on to say that it's a good way to sort out the very toughest candidates for "the toughest job in the world."

    "It made me a better person," she said.

    Recommended: Romney says he'll run as conservative amid 'Etch A Sketch' gaffe 

    Small comfort to Romney, Santorum and Gingrich, who have been slogging through the week-in, week-out grind of primaries, fundraisers, town halls, interviews, hotel rooms and airplane food.

    "I woke up this morning and found I did not have any shirts that would be appropriate for a fundraiser, so I had to wash my shirt out in the sink," Romney confessed Tuesday, in an interview sandwiched between a Chicago fundraiser and an Illinois victory party. "And then I thought, 'How am I going to get this thing dried fast enough?' So I got the iron out. It took me about 20 minutes to iron it dry. The collar is finally dry."

    Dee Dee Myers, Bill Clinton's press secretary during the 1992 campaign and then at the White House, recalls that Clinton "made all of his worst mistakes when he was tired."

    "But when every primary feels like a single-elimination contest, you can't afford to take a day off," she said.

    Overall, Myers said, Romney seems to showing the stamina of the "Energizer bunny." But she said the Republicans also seem to be suffering from a lack of "message discipline" as they dart from one event to the next without taking time to think through exactly what they want voters to hear.

    "That's probably a function of getting tired," she said.

    After Saturday's voting in Louisiana, the candidates get a 10-day break before Washington, D.C., Maryland and Wisconsin hold primaries on April 3. That's a welcome respite, but there still will be ads to cut, supporters to cajole, money to raise and all the rest.

    The lighter schedule is coming none too soon.

    Santorum, Romney's chief rival, has had to backpedal on a series of ill-thought remarks in recent days, prompting him to wish for a "do-over" after saying the unemployment rate wasn't a crucial issue to his campaign.

    Some missteps aren't all that surprising when a recent — and typical — campaign day for Santorum had events or interviews scheduled for 8 a.m., 9:05 a.m., 9:15 a.m. 10 a.m., 10:20 a.m., 11:30 a.m., 2 p.m., 5 p.m. and 7:30 p.m., in seven cities in Illinois and Missouri, followed by a late-night flight in stormy weather to Louisiana for church services the next morning.

    "At the age of 53, with seven children ages 20 to 3, it's not exactly the best time to be going out and running for president of the United States," he said last weekend in Effingham, Ill. He'll sometimes sprint home to McLean, Va., for less than a day of down time with his family before revving back up for another long stretch of campaigning.

    Santorum will catch a break wherever he can get one. That left him apologizing last week after a less-than-flattering photo surfaced of him asnooze, shirtless, in a chaise lounge during a campaign stop in Puerto Rico.

    "I'm sure that's not a pretty sight," he allowed.

    Gingrich appears to still be working on perfecting the power nap.

    Earlier this month he drifted off, on camera, while waiting for his turn to address a live-streamed meeting of a pro-Israel lobby.

    "I understand you have a panel," he told the moderator as he snapped open his eyes. "I look forward to any questions."

    An awkward pause ensued while Gingrich waited for questions.

    "Mr. Speaker, there is not a panel," the moderator informed him. "Please do continue, sir."

    Gingrich may have done himself more good by staying up until 2 a.m. dancing with his wife, Callista, at a hotel lounge in Jackson, Miss., a few days later.

    The former House speaker later pronounced it great fun, and called it a "two-hour vacation."

    Early on, Gingrich caught grief for taking a couple weeks off the campaign to take his wife on a Mediterranean cruise, and he still gets home many weekends to rest and attend Callista's Sunday choir performances, but he's put in his share of late nights campaigning.

    And that's when he's prone to loosen up and get a little punchy, producing what reporters call "late-night Newt" performances.

    On one recent evening, Gingrich tested out possible bumper sticker and T-shirt slogans, such as "With Newt, Drill Here, Pay Less," and "Barack Obama, Pay More, Pay Weird."

    Romney, for his part, savors the rare chance to sleep in his own bed.

    "Oh, boy, we're headed home," he said earlier this month when the primary calendar gave him a pit stop in his home state of Massachusetts after two straight months on the road.

    He knew it wouldn't last, though.

    "Tomorrow, we wake up and we start again. And the next day, we'll do the same," Romney said. "And so we'll go, day by day, step by step, door by door, heart to heart. There will be good days. There will be bad days. Always long hours, never enough time to get everything done."

    Maybe not enough time to wash his shirt. But, hey, Romney says at least he gets "a lot of frequent flyer points," for staying at all those hotels.

    And on Romney's campaign bus, the candidate can count on a never-ending supply of one of his favorite comfort foods: peanut butter and jelly sandwiches.

    © 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

    138 comments

    Spewing doom, bigotry and homophobia 24/7 will take alot out of you. That new GOP budget plan is great too, only 800 billion in the red.

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  • 20
    Mar
    2012
    3:40pm, EDT

    Romney wins Illinois GOP primary

    Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

    Mitt Romney and his wife Ann celebrate their victory in the Illinois GOP primary at the Renaissance Schaumburg Convention Center Hotel on Tuesday.

    By Michael O'Brien, msnbc.com
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    Updated at 6:44 a.m. ET – Mitt Romney won the Illinois Republican primary with ease on Tuesday night, allowing him to grow his delegate advantage over his rivals in the fight for the party's presidential nomination.

    The primary had offered Republicans maybe their best chance yet of a genuine one-on-one battle between the former Massachusetts governor and Rick Santorum, his chief competitor for the nod.

    "Elections are about choices. And today, hundreds of thousands of people in Illinois have joined millions of people across the country to join our cause," Romney told a throng of supporters in the Chicago suburb of Schaumburg.


    As a result of the Illinois vote, Romney's delegate tally rose, though the state-wide popular vote had no technical bearing on the eventual allocation of delegates.

    In Illinois, voters elect delegates separately on candidates' behalf.

    A total of 54 delegates were at stake on Tuesday, and NBC News projected as of 6:30 a.m. ET that 41 went to Romney and 10 to Santorum.

    Check out NBC's Decision 2012 delegate tally here

    Still, the primary, held in President Barack Obama's adopted home state (typically a Democratic stronghold in the general election), gave Romney a chance to further his campaign's case that he is the inevitable Republican nominee. He achieved his victory with a similar coalition of voters that had tended to support him in previous caucuses and primaries.

    Romney show signs of strength as Republicans begin to coalesce

    The ex-governor ran better with more affluent and educated voters, as well as moderates and voters who described themselves as "somewhat" conservative. Thirty-five percent of primary voters said in exit polls that a candidate's ability to beat Obama was most important to them; Romney won 71 percent of those voters to Santorum's 17 percent. Similarly, 58 percent of primary voters said the economy was their top issue, and Romney bested Santorum among those voters by a 17-point margin.

    GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney delivers remarks to his supporters following his win in the Illinois primary.

    Santorum continued to outperform Romney among downscale and less educated voters, along with the most conservative Republicans and evangelical Christians.

    'We don't need a manager'
    He emphasized his ideological steadiness versus Romney in remarks on Tuesday evening, deriding Romney by implication as a timid manager of the status quo.

    "This is an election about fundamental and foundational things," he said from Pennsylvania. "This is not about who's the best person to manage Washington. We don't need a manager."

    The difference in Tuesday's primary was that these voters made up a smaller share of the electorate than in states like Mississippi and Alabama -- the conservative hotbeds Santorum won last week.

    First Read: Illinois isn't Alabama or Mississippi

    Despite Romney's victory, the Republican race appeared poised to stretch on at least weeks longer. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has shown no willingness to leave the race, and Santorum's campaign has circulated its delegate math, which focuses on halting Romney's march to gather the 1,144 delegates needed to secure the nomination.

    This would spark a contested convention when Republicans meet to formally make their nomination in August.

    Presidential candidate Mitt Romney has focused almost exclusively on President Barack Obama in recent days instead of the other GOP candidates. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

    According to NBC News projections early Wednesday, Romney had won 485 delegates. Santorum had accrued 193 delegates, while Gingrich had won 137 and Paul had received 34.

    The Santorum campaign made its case to reporters on Tuesday why 1,144 was still an attainable goal for the former senator, though he would have to perform especially well in future contests in order to best Romney.

    For Santorum, the Illinois primary had meant an opportunity to again upset Romney in a Midwestern nominating contest the frontrunner had been expected to win. Santorum battled the former Massachusetts governor closely in both Ohio and Michigan, but Romney's superior campaign organization and finances -- combined with millions in ads bought by a supportive super PAC -- ultimately carried the day.

    © Sarah Conard / Reuters / REUTERS

    Mitt Romney holds a town hall meeting at Gateway Convention Center in Collinsville, Ill., on March 17.

    But Romney started to pivot toward his general election target -- President Obama -- in his victory remarks on Tuesday evening. He only referenced his Republican challengers so as to congratulate them on a hard-fought campaign. He used the rest of his speech to test themes of his argument against the president.

    "This election will be about principle. Our economic freedom will be on the ballot," he said. "I'm running for president because I have the experience and vision to get us out of this mess."

    Romney was able to carry momentum into Tuesday's contest resulting from a commanding victory in last Sunday's Puerto Rico primary, which not only won him 20 delegates, but also raised questions about the prudence of Santorum's decision to campaign in the territory -- an expensive commitment which won him no delegates, and only a small share of the popular vote.

    Andrea Saul, press secretary for the Romney campaign, previews Tuesday's primary and talks about the delegate tally.

    Organizational issues that had dogged Santorum in Ohio's primary also re-appeared in Illinois, where he failed to file the required delegate slates in four congressional districts, meaning he was ineligible to win 10 delegates.

    The campaign turns next to Saturday's caucuses in Louisiana. Gingrich, who again vowed to fight onward to Republicans' convention in Tampa this August, spent the day in Louisiana. Santorum also heads next to Louisiana.

    The next batch of contests are on April 3 in Wisconsin, Maryland and Washington, D.C.

    1190 comments

    The guy that dosent't care about the poor Vs. The guy that doesn't care about the unemployed Vs. The guy that doesn't care about his marriage vows Vs. The guy that doesn't care about foreign policy Well, Jimmy-crack-corn, I don't care about them either At least the GOP message is consistent: THEY DO …

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  • 19
    Mar
    2012
    1:18pm, EDT

    Ron Paul: the incredible shrinking candidate

    By M. Alex Johnson, msnbc.com

    At the risk of annoying supporters of Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, who believe — and argue fervently — that the mainstream news media don't pay attention to their candidate, it must be noted that Twitter and Facebook don't, either.

    Accusations that news organizations are ignoring Paul's presidential campaign are an organizing principle of his supporters, who take to Facebook and Twitter to complain that the only reason Paul isn't leading is a "media blackout."

    Every day, hundreds — and sometimes thousands — of comments like this appear:

    Twitter.com


    M. Alex Johnson

    M. Alex Johnson is a reporter for msnbc.com. Follow him on Twitter and Facebook.


    In fact, Paul's rally was covered by the major St. Louis media (here, here and here, for example), but never mind that — perception matters in politics. And the perception in some quarters is that the media are actively trying to sink Paul's campaign.


    That sentiment makes up about 10 percent of posts about Paul this year, according to msnbc.com's computer-assisted analysis of a sample of 9 million Twitter and Facebook posts that have mentioned one of the four major Republican candidates through Friday.


    Follow @msnbc_us

    (The analysis uses a tool called ForSight, a data platform developed by Crimson Hexagon Inc., which is used by many media and research organizations to gauge public opinion in new media, among them the Pew Research Center and ESPN. The results aren't a scientific reflection of national opinion. Instead, they're a broad look at what is being said by Americans who follow politics and are active on Facebook, Twitter or both.)

    Since the beginning of the year, Paul and his campaign have been mentioned about 1.1 million times on Twitter or Facebook:

    Crimson Hexagon Inc.

    Click to enlarge
    The top line quantifies total mentions of Ron Paul on Twitter and Facebook since Jan. 1. The shaded blue are counts those that specifically take a position on him.

    Here's the problem: Over the same time, more than 3.7 million posts have mentioned former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney:

    Crimson Hexagon Inc.

    Click to enlarge

    More than 2.2 million have mentioned former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia:

    Crimson Hexagon Inc.

    Click to enlarge

    And more than 1.9 million have mentioned former Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania:

    Crimson Hexagon Inc.

    Click to enlarge

    Here's an especially telling comparison, charting posts that state an actual opinion about one of the four candidates since Jan. 1. Paul is the yellow line at the bottom, often clocking in at fewer than 5,000 opinions a day:

    Crimson Hexagon Inc.

    Click to enlarge

    However much his partisans may complain, it's not just the media that are ignoring Ron Paul.

    More content from msnbc.com and NBC News:

    • Fuhgeddaboutit! NJ top state for fighting corruption
    • Soldier held in Afghan killings had financial issues
    • Tea Party spokesman arrested in sex assault case
    • NYC building's floor collapses during party
    • Occupy Wall Street activists return to park, get arrested

    Follow US News on msnbc.com on Twitter and Facebook

    720 comments

    That is strange, I went to Ron Paul's page and he has nearly a million likes. Where are you getting your 1.1 million? It is hard for me to believe that he has only been tweeted about 200K times. I do think that the others have been looked up more (they have all the positive and negative stuff, Gingr …

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  • 6
    Mar
    2012
    8:32pm, EST

    Early exit poll data point to continued faith in Romney's electability

    By Tom Curry, msnbc.com National Affairs Writer

    Early indications from exit poll interviews on Tuesday with Republican primary voters in Virginia and Georgia suggest that even the voters who did not cast their ballots for Mitt Romney think that he’s the candidate most likely to defeat President Obama in November.

    Jim Watson / AFP - Getty Images

    In Virginia, 44 percent of voters said the candidate quality that most mattered was the ability to defeat Obama, and 86 percent of those voters backed Romney.

    In Georgia, where former House Speaker Newt Gingrich concentrated much of his campaigning in recent weeks, 43 percent of voters said Romney was the candidate most likely to beat Obama. That compares to the 36 percent of Georgia voters who said Gingrich was likely to defeat the president.

    Yet Gingrich won the Georgia primary, partly because the voters who said what mattered most to them was having a GOP nominee who was "a true conservative" overwhelmingly favored Gingrich. And the former House speaker also won a lop-sided majority (75 percent) of those Georgia voters who said his ties to the state mattered in deciding their vote. 

    Related: Some Republicans root for endgame to primary

    In Virginia, 44 percent of voters said the candidate quality that most mattered was the ability to defeat Obama, and 86 percent of those voters backed Romney. 

    Georgia and Virginia were each special cases among the 11 Super Tuesday contests.

    Romney and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas were the only candidates who qualified for the ballot in Virginia, and Romney was cruising to a comfortable victory there.

    In Georgia, Gingrich campaigned frequently and had represented a congressional district in the suburbs of Atlanta from 1979 to 1998. Romney has made only two appearances in Georgia since Jan. 1.

    In the two-man Virginia contest between Paul and Romney, exit poll interviews showed Romney getting roughly three-fifths or more of the vote among almost every demographic, income, and ideological group. The only exceptions were single men: Paul got 57 percent of their votes to Romney’s 43 percent and among independents: Paul won 56 percent to Romney’s 44 percent.

    But in Virginia Romney won both voters with annual incomes greater than $50,000 and those with incomes below $50,000 – and he won nearly two-thirds of both the college-educated voters and those who had not graduated from college.

    The exit poll interviews asked Virginia voters whether they would have voted for former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum if he’d qualified to be on the ballot: one out of five said yes. If Gingrich had been on the Virginia ballot, 12 percent would have voted for him.

    Romney dominated among self-described very conservative voters in Virginia, as well as among evangelical Christians, who accounted for about 46 percent of Tuesday’s Virginia electorate.

    Among evangelical Christian voters in Georgia, the thrice-married Gingrich, a Catholic convert, far outpaced Romney, a Mormon who has been married to his wife Ann since 1969, beating him by 30 percentage points.

    And Romney seriously lagged among conservative voters in Georgia, winning only 26 percent of them, while Gingrich won nearly half of them. Fifty-three percent of Georgia voters said that Romney’s positions on the issues were not conservative enough.

    These early exit poll numbers could be modified as more data becomes available later Tuesday night.

    108 comments

    Ramney lost this election and paid for everyone else's ride. This guy couldn't run a lemonade stand much less the United States of America. Santorum is laughing at him. That's pretty sad. Thanks for paying Mitt. The more I hear the drumbeat of the war on race and culture, the more I think of the Rep …

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  • 6
    Mar
    2012
    2:20pm, EST

    Romney scores narrow Super Tuesday win in pivotal Ohio

    Mitt Romney picked up a total of six states on Super Tuesday, with Rick Santorum gaining three and Newt Gingrich one. The results, particularly a close race in Ohio, left the contest far from decided. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

    By Michael O'Brien, msnbc.com
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    Updated at 7:44 a.m. ET — Mitt Romney scored a narrow victory over Rick Santorum in the Ohio presidential primary following a hard-fought campaign that had been perceived as a turning point in the battle for the Republican presidential nomination. NBC News projected he was the apparent winner in that state.

    Both Romney and Santorum won several Super Tuesday caucuses and primaries, but none more prized than Romney's victory in Ohio. The former Massachusetts governor was able to ride a wave of momentum out of Michigan, where he also closely battled Santorum, to erase the former Pennsylvania senator's lead in Ohio over the past week.

    The trajectory of the Republican campaign hinged in large part on Ohio, and now Romney may claim the imprimatur associated with winning a state that's considered an essential step toward victory in the general election.


    But a margin of just a few thousand votes separated Romney and Santorum, representing a kind of moral victory for Santorum given the way the Romney campaign and a supportive super PAC heavily outspent him in Ohio.

    NBC's David Gregory, Chuck Todd and Savannah Guthrie weigh in on the Super Tuesday results, which left the Republican primary race still wide open.

    In all, Romney appeared to have sealed victories in six Super Tuesday states. In addition to Ohio, NBC News projected Romney as the winner in Vermont, Massachusetts, Idaho and Virginia (where only he and Texas Rep. Ron Paul appeared on the ballot). Early Wednesday, Romney added Alaska to his tally.

    NBC News projections suggested that Santorum won Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota, while former House Speaker Newt Gingrich won Georgia, the state from which he had served as a representative in Congress.

    Mitt Romney tells a Super Tuesday crowd of supporters that the country can't afford four more years of Barack Obama with no one to answer to.

    But neither Santorum nor Gingrich, buoyed by their own wins, seemed any closer by the end of the night to ending their campaigns, reflecting the lingering doubts over Romney among conservatives, which were underscored in exit polling.

    Check out the full Super Tuesday results here

    "We're going to win a few, we're going to lose a few. But as it looks right now, we're going to get at least a couple gold medals and a whole passel full of silver medals," Santorum said in Steubenville, Ohio, before the state's results were announced. "We have won in the West and the Midwest and the South, and we're ready to win across this country."

    The states with contests Tuesday were Georgia, Virginia, Vermont, North Dakota, Ohio, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Idaho, Alaska and Wyoming.

    Slideshow: Voters head to polls on Super Tuesday

    Mark Humphrey / AP

    See pictures from around America as 11 states hold contests that will award a combined 424 delegates in the Republican primary.

    Launch slideshow

    More delegates were up for grabs on this Super Tuesday than had been previously allocated to the remaining GOP candidates after two months of voting, according to NBC News projections. Between the 10 states holding primaries or caucuses and Wyoming, which will allocate five of its 26 delegates, a total of 424 of the 1,144 delegates needed to win the nomination are at stake.

    Delegate race tells a different GOP story

    In addition to Ohio, NBC News projected Romney as the winner in Vermont, Massachusetts, Idaho and Virginia (where only he and Texas Rep. Ron Paul appeared on the ballot). Early Wednesday, Romney added Alaska to his tally.

    "There are three states under our belt, and counting. We're going to get more by the time this night is over," Romney told supporters in Boston before firmly declaring: "I'm going to get this nomination."

    'We're doing some counting'
    Romney emerged as the night's winner in terms of delegate haul, a point which he emphasized in his speech.

    "Tonight we're doing some counting," he said. "We're counting the delegates for the convention and that looks good, and we're counting down the days to the convention, and that looks better."

    But exit polls showed Romney continued to struggle with the most conservative voters, the core of the Republican Party, in states like Ohio and Tennessee -- arguably the two most competitive contests held Tuesday.

    NBC's David Gregory and Savannah Guthrie discuss the latest Super Tuesday results in the GOP presidential nominations which hinges on a close race in Ohio.

    But Romney performed well among voters who consider the economy their top issue, or who rated a candidate's ability to beat President Barack Obama in November -- two key selling points in the former Massachusetts governor's campaign.

    Some Republicans had hoped that Super Tuesday would help propel the Republican race into a new stage, one that draws toward a conclusion given the growing negative cloud surrounding the GOP race.

    Santorum camp asking conservatives to pressure Gingrich to drop out

    Forty percent of respondents, for instance, said in Monday's NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that the primary process has given them a less favorable opinion of the Republican Party. And more independent voters said in a separate Washington Post/Pew Research Center poll that their impression of the GOP candidates was getting worse as a result of the primary than those who said their opinion was improving.

    Gingrich decried that negativity in his election night speech, one in which he vowed to press forward. 

    "I want you to know that, in the morning, we are going on to Alabama. We're going on to Mississippi. We're going on to Kansas," he said to cheers. "And that's just this week."

    After victories in Oklahoma and Tennessee, Rick Santorum expresses optimism as he addresses supporters at a rally in Ohio, saying that he and his family are "making a sacrifice for a very big goal," replacing President Barack Obama.

    A strong performance by Romney might have moved more Republicans who had harbored doubts about the ex-governor off the fence, and finally create some sustained momentum for Romney. Still, momentum in the primary has come in fits and starts, threatening to make the Republican campaign into a prolonged battle over delegates.

    Santorum expressed optimism as he addressed supporters at a rally in Ohio, saying that he and his family are "making a sacrifice for a very big goal," replacing Obama in the White House.

    "They are decimating each other ... independent voters are fleeing him," Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod said Tuesday night on NBC in regard to Romney and the GOP campaign. "I feel good about how things have evolved in the last six months."

    While the day boasted more primaries and caucuses than any other in 2012, it was a shadow of Super Tuesday in 2008, when there were 20 Republican contests.

    There was another big difference, a trend away from winner-take-all contests to a system of allocating delegates in rough proportion to a candidate's share of the popular vote.

    Sen. John McCain won eight states on Super Tuesday in 2008 and lost 12 to Romney and Mike Huckabee combined. But six of McCain's victories were winner-take-all primaries, allowing him to build an insurmountable delegate lead that all but sealed his nomination

    The Associated Press contributed to this report.

    1524 comments

    For once it would be nice to see Paul one. Let's hope there's some people who want some real change and are tired of the pandering politicians in Alaska or North Dakota. Ron Paul 2012!

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  • 6
    Mar
    2012
    9:09am, EST

    First Thoughts: Super Tuesday

    Happy Super Tuesday!... All eyes on Ohio… The pressure’s on Santorum… The skinny on today’s 11 contests: the delegates at stake, the expectations for a good night, the poll closings, and the ad spending… Obama holds presser on Super Tuesday at 1:15 pm ET… And the public, per NBC/WSJ poll, differs with McCain on Syria.

    Jim Watson / AFP - Getty Images

    Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney waves to supporters after speaking at a rally in Zanesville, Ohio, March 5, 2012, ahead of voting on Super Tuesday.

    By NBC's Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Brooke Brower

    *** Super Tuesday: How things have changed in just one week. Exactly seven days ago, Mitt Romney was fighting for his political life in Michigan; a loss in his native state could very well have cost him the GOP presidential nomination. But after his very narrow victory there, plus his win in Arizona, the narrative has suddenly changed: Romney -- with wins in Ohio, maybe Tennessee, too -- could very well become the de facto nominee after tonight’s Super Tuesday contests. The marquee race in Ohio is particularly significant for both Romney and Rick Santorum. A Romney win there would keep him on his path (no matter how rocky it’s been) toward capturing the GOP nomination. But a Santorum victory there would signal that his close second-place finish in Michigan wasn’t a fluke, and would likely ensure that this primary season remains competitive, perhaps through April and possibly June. But something to keep in mind: Every time it seems that Romney has been on the ropes (after South Carolina, before Michigan), he pulls off a big win. And every time we think he’s wrapped up this race (after New Hampshire, after Florida/Nevada), we discover it’s not over. 

    *** The pressure’s on Santorum: But make no mistake: The pressure is on Santorum tonight. Romney could lose Ohio and still win the GOP nomination. But if Santorum loses the popular vote in the Buckeye State, it’s hard to see how he’ll be a factor come April or May. And no matter what, Romney is going to win the math race tonight -- by virtue of Santorum and Gingrich not being on the ballot in Virginia, and because he didn’t file a full slate of delegates in some Ohio congressional districts. Chew on this: It is possible that Santorum could win in both Ohio and Tennessee, but Romney could win a majority of tonight’s delegates (213 out of 424). That outcome would create a math problem for Santorum and a perception problem for Romney. And given how this campaign season has gone so far, isn't this the most LIKELY outcome?

    The Daily Rundown's Chuck Todd previews the high stakes of Super Tuesday and what needs to happen for a one candidate to become the big winner.

    *** The more things change, the more they stay the same: Indeed, no matter what happens tonight, the overall story remains the same. Romney has a lead in delegates; it will be difficult for his less-organized rivals to catch up to him; no one, including Romney, is likely to wrap up the 1,144 delegates needed to clinch the nomination until late May; and the GOP primary season, as our NBC/WSJ poll shows, has taken a toll on the party’s brand and its candidates. Here is NBC’s official delegate count heading into tonight: Romney 119, Gingrich 30, Santorum 17, Paul 8. Note: NBC News does not allocate delegates from many of the non-binding caucus results (like Iowa, Colorado, Minnesota, Maine, and Washington state; in most of these cases, these results don't even LOOSELY guide the actual delegate allocation process in these states so be careful of some of the various counts circulating.)

    *** The skinny on today’s races: Eleven states across the country will hold contests awarding a combined 424 delegates. Here are the 11 contests, plus the delegates at stake in each: Alaska caucus (24), Georgia primary (76), Idaho caucus (32), Massachusetts primary (38), North Dakota caucus (28), Ohio primary (63), Oklahoma primary (40), Tennessee primary (55), Vermont primary (17), Virginia primary (46), and Wyoming caucus (5 of its 26 are elected tonight). The GOP presidential candidates have different strategies and strongholds in these 11 races. Romney hopes to lock down his home state of Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia (where only he and Paul are on the ballot), and Idaho. Santorum is expecting wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee. Gingrich has focused on his home state of Georgia. And Paul has concentrated on the caucuses in Alaska, Idaho, and North Dakota, as well as the primary in Vermont.

    *** What would be a good night for the candidates, delegate-wise: Here’s what the NBC Political Unit would see as a good or better-than-expected night for all the candidates. For Romney, it would be winning between 200-220 delegates (with 35-plus in OH, 20-plus in GA, 15-plus in TN, and 10-plus in OK)… For Santorum, it would 115-130 (with 30-plus in OH, 20-plus in GA, 25-plus in TN, and 25-plus in OK)… For Gingrich, it would be 70-80 delegates (with 20-plus in TN, 35-plus in GA, 10-plus in OK, and any delegate from Ohio). 

    *** Poll closings: Here are the final poll closing times in each state:
    7:00 pm ET: Georgia, Virginia, Vermont
    7:30 pm ET: North Dakota, Ohio
    8:00 pm ET: Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee
    9:00 pm ET: Wyoming
    10:00 pm ET: Idaho
    Midnight ET: Alaska

    *** Romney enjoys big ad-spending advantage: By the way, it’s worth noting that Romney and his Super PAC allies have more than a 4-to-1 ad-spending advantage over Santorum and his allies in the pivotal state of Ohio. And overall, it’s nearly a 5-to-1 advantage. Here are the most up-to-date numbers for ad spending in the Super Tuesday states:
    Ohio: pro-Romney $4 million, pro-Gingrich $739,000, pro-Santorum $950,000
    Georgia: pro-Romney $1.5 million, pro-Gingrich $950,000, pro-Santorum $214,000
    Tennessee: pro-Romney $1.3 million, pro-Gingrich $664,000, pro-Santorum $247,000
    Oklahoma: pro-Romney $576,000, pro-Gingrich $422,000, pro-Santorum $182,000
    Idaho: pro-Romney $126,000, pro-Santorum $3,000, pro-Paul $47,000
    Vermont: pro-Romney $61,000, pro-Paul $55,000

    *** On the trail, per NBC’s Adam Perez: The candidates are all in different parts of the country today: Romney is in Massachusetts, where he casts his vote in that state’s primary at 5:15 pm ET… Gingrich gives a speech in Georgia before campaigning in Alabama… Santorum is delivering a speech at the AIPAC conference in DC… And Paul stumps in Idaho and North Dakota. Note: As NBC’s Alex Moe reported last night, Newt and Callista Gingrich WILL NOT be voting in Virginia, since Gingrich isn’t on the ballot in the state.

    Recommended:  First black Congressman to represent New Jersey dies at 77 

    *** Obama holds presser on Super Tuesday at 1:15 pm ET: To make sure that he isn’t an afterthought on this Super Tuesday, President Obama is holding a White House news conference at 1:15 pm ET. As NBC’s Shawna Thomas has noted, he hasn’t held a presser since last year (a short one in December on Richard Cordray’s nomination and a longer one back in November in Hawaii). While we’re sure that Obama gets plenty of questions on the GOP primary race and 2012, don’t be surprised if he also gets some tough questions on Syria, Israel and Iran, whether he’s evolved more on gay marriage (see our NBC/WSJ poll), GM halting production of the Obama-touted Chevy Volt, and the administration’s hiring of former lobbyist Steve Ricchetti, whom the Obama campaign had singled out in ’07 as a lobbyist bundler for the Hillary Clinton campaign. 

    *** U.S. public differs with McCain on Syria: Speaking of Syria, yesterday Sen. John McCain “called for U.S.-led airstrikes against government forces in Syria … the first such call from the top Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee,” NBC’s Frank Thorp notes. But our new NBC/WSJ poll shows that McCain’s call is VERY unpopular with the country. Just 13% say the U.S. should take military action to stop the killings there; 11% want to provide arms to the opposition; 48% want to give only humanitarian assistance; and 25% want to take no action.

    Countdown to Alabama, Hawaii, and Mississippi: 7 days
    Countdown to Election Day: 245 days

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    456 comments

    Speaking of Syria, yesterday Sen. John McCain “called for U.S.-led airstrikes against government forces in Syria

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  • 5
    Mar
    2012
    5:41pm, EST

    Some Republicans root for endgame to primary campaign

    By Michael O'Brien, msnbc.com
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    The battle for the GOP presidential nomination stands to gain a degree of clarity after Tuesday – amid signs that the race has hurt the eventual nominee’s chances in the eyes of some Republicans.

    The nominating fight has stretched two months already has been marked by an especially negative tone. And it’s taken a toll; 40 percent of U.S. adults – and 23 percent of GOP primary voters – said the primary process has given them a less favorable opinion of the Republican primary, according to Monday’s NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

    “I think if you polled folks, they very much want to have a spokesperson — an identified candidate — sooner rather than later,” said Rep. Steve LaTourette, a Republican who’s backing Romney, and a veteran of Capitol Hill.

    NBC/WSJ poll: Primary season takes 'corrosive' toll on GOP

    LaTourette represents a district in northeast Ohio, the consummate swing state which plays host to one of 11 contests on Super Tuesday in which delegates are at stake. The competition is especially fierce in Ohio, where Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are rehashing their fight from Michigan’s primary just a week before.

    A week later, the tables have been turned for Santorum. He’s now the candidate who must beat expectations and halt Romney’s momentum. Ohio, and, to a lesser extent, Tennessee, have become the proving ground for the Pennsylvania senator on Tuesday.

    "Politics is a game of expectations — who overperforms, who underperforms ... I still believe a coalescing needs to take place behind an alternative to Romney," said Bob Vander Plaats, an influential social conservative leader from Iowa whose support helped propel Santorum to an ultraslim victory over Romney in the state's Jan. 3 caucuses. "I think what he [Santorum] needs to do is he needs to over-deliver on expectations."

    First Thoughts: Are the GOP candidates damaged goods?

    In both Ohio and Tennesee, Santorum has witnessed his lead over Romney evaporate after Romney successfully defended his native Michigan, and defeated the former Pennsylvania senator in the state. Super Tuesday might not offer Romney an opportunity to deliver a knockout blow, but, at a minimum, he could put Santorum on the ropes by beating him in one or both states.

    Team Romney believes that factors within the Republican Party are beginning to move in the former Massachusetts governor’s direction. Romney enjoyed his highest-ever level of support among Republicans compared to past NBC/WSJ polls, and the closing gap in some Super Tuesday states, especially in Ohio, suggests momentum.

    “There is a feeling that we have had a vigorous debate about the direction we want to take as a party, and how we want to prosecute Obama on the No. 1 issue, which is the economy,” one Romney adviser said. “We are seeing a movement by many voters to consolidate all the different factions behind one candidate, that candidate being Romney.”

    The GOP logic is that once the nomination fight has wrapped, the eventual nominee will be able to pivot toward President Barack Obama, and reverse the damage to the party’s brand.

    “Right now there's a media narrative that none of them are up for prime time,” said Jim McLaughlin, a Republican pollster who argued the prolonged primary has actually made Romney a sharper candidate. “The good news for Republicans is once we have a nominee, he'll be able to define himself.”

    READ: The NBC political unit's guide to Super Tuesday

    Whether the campaign will reach that inflection point Tuesday night is a matter of campaign mechanics as much as raw votes and momentum.

    Vander Plaats called Romney the “odds-on” favorite to win the nomination as long as GOP voters fail to rally  — quickly — behind Santorum as the lone alternative to Romney. He argued that Gingrich should consider exiting the campaign after Tuesday night if the former House speaker fails to score any significant wins.

    But the Gingrich campaign has worked intently on winning Georgia, which offers Tuesday’s largest kitty of delegates. And a Gingrich surrogate, Georgia Rep. Jack Kingston, argued that recent weeks of focus on Santorum’s social views have illustrated the risk in making the former senator the GOP’s nominee.

    “We’re not 100 percent sure that Santorum has the right language. You have to be very delicate and diplomatic about the things you say,” he said.  “I think there are some things that he has said along the way that weren’t vetted that would come back to haunt him.”

    And as for Vander Plaats’s wish that Gingrich drop out if he loses Georgia? “I think that he would probably look at that, but I don’t think that’s going to happen,” Kingston said.

    Ohio: Romney maintains economic focus | Santorum emphasizes roots

    If it’s the case that Romney wins Tuesday and none of his challengers exit the campaign, the race for the nomination may shift into a new stage with Romney in more commanding position, all while fighting to keep his momentum going and bleeding his rivals of support and finances.

    LaTourette said he didn’t expect the campaign to end after Tuesday, but expressed his sense of the sentiment among Republicans on Capitol Hill that the nominating battle should wrap up by no later than Memorial Day.

    “There comes a point in time when it's too late. I remember Bob Dole and President Clinton. He never got rolling, if you will,” he said. “I would expect Santorum's money to dry up if he doesn't pull out a couple rabbits tomorrow … If he wins it goes on for a little bit, but I really don't see him capturing the hearts and minds of the average Republican voter.”

    683 comments

    I'm enjoying the circus............... keep it going.

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  • 4
    Mar
    2012
    11:00pm, EST

    NBC/WSJ poll: Primary season takes 'corrosive' toll on GOP and its candidates

    By Mark Murray, NBC News Senior Political Editor
    Follow @mmurraypolitics

     

    As another round of voting takes place this week in the Republican presidential race – with 11 states holding Super Tuesday contests – a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that the combative and heavily scrutinized primary season so far has damaged the party and its candidates.

    Four in 10 of all adults say the GOP nominating process has given them a less favorable impression of the Republican Party, versus just slightly more than one in 10 with a more favorable opinion.

    Additionally, when asked to describe the GOP nominating battle in a word or phrase, nearly 70 percent of respondents – including six in 10 independents and even more than half of Republicans – answered with a negative comment.

    Some examples of these negative comments from Republicans: "Unenthusiastic," "discouraged," "lesser of two evils," "painful," "disappointed," "poor choices," "concerned," "underwhelmed,” “uninspiring” and “depressed.”

    Read the full poll here (.pdf)

    And perhaps most significantly, the GOP primary process has taken a toll on the Republican presidential candidates, including front-runner Mitt Romney, who is seen more unfavorably and whose standing with independents remains underwater.

    “The primaries have not raised the stature of the party, nor enhanced the appeal of the candidates,” says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

    “The word you’d have to use at this stage is: ‘Corrosive,’” McInturff adds.

    The damage from the Republican primary season – in addition to a rising job-approval rating for President Obama and more optimism about the U.S. economy – has given Democrats an early advantage for November’s general election.

    Indeed, the president’s job-approval rating now stands at 50 percent; Obama leads Romney in a hypothetical general-election match up by six points; and Democrats hold a five-point edge on the generic congressional ballot.

    If this poll’s outlook on the 2012 race were a cocktail, Hart says, it would be “one part Obama, one part the economy, and three parts the Republican Party’s destruction.”

    Bad news and good news for Romney
    How damaging has the primary season – with all of its debates, attack ads and scrutiny -- been for the Republican Party?

    Forty percent of all adults say the GOP contest so far has made them feel less favorable about the party, while 12 percent say they now have a more favorable impression. Forty-seven percent say it’s had no impact.

    Even among Republicans, 23 percent maintain the primary season has given them a less favorable opinion of the party, versus 16 percent who say it’s been positive.

    In addition, 55 percent of respondents – including 35 percent of Republicans – believe the Democratic Party does a better job than the GOP in appealing to those who aren’t hard-core supporters. Just 26 percent say the Republican Party does a better job on this front.

    And it’s been damaging for Romney, too. In January’s NBC/WSJ poll, Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating stood at 31 percent to 36 percent among all respondents (and 22/42 percent among independents).

    But in this latest survey, it’s now 28 percent favorable and 39 percent unfavorable (and 22/38 percent among independents).

    In fact, Romney’s image right now is worse than almost all other recent candidates who went on to win their party’s presidential nomination: Obama’s favorable/unfavorable ratio was 51/28 percent and John McCain’s was 47/27, in the March 2008 NBC/WSJ poll; John Kerry was at 42/30 at this point in 2004; George W. Bush was 43/32 in 2000; and Bob Dole was 35/39 in March 1996.

    The one exception: Bill Clinton, in April 1992, was at 32/43 percent.

    But there is also some good news for Romney in the poll, especially as it relates to his bid to capture the GOP presidential nomination.

    Read the full poll here (.pdf)

    After his primary victories last Tuesday in Arizona and Michigan, the former Massachusetts governor leads the national Republican horserace, getting support from 38 percent of GOP voters, his highest-ever mark in the poll.

    He’s followed by former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum at 32 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Texas Rep. Ron Paul tied at 13 percent.

    In a race reduced to just two candidates, Romney leads Santorum by five percentage points, 50 to 45 percent.

    In particular, Romney has improved his standing with Tea Party supporters, getting support from 44 percent of them in a two-way contest against Santorum.

    And what’s more, 72 percent of Republicans say they would be satisfied if Romney becomes their party’s presidential nominee.

    Obama’s improved political standing
    When it comes to President Obama, the poll contains mostly good news. Fifty percent approve of his job – his highest mark in the NBC/WSJ survey since Osama bin Laden’s death – and 45 percent disapprove.

    In a hypothetical general-election contest, he leads Romney by six points, 50 to 44 percent, winning independents (46-39 percent), women (55-37 percent) and those in the Midwest (52-42 percent).

    Obama enjoys bigger leads over Paul (50 to 42 percent), Santorum (53 to 39 percent) and Gingrich (54 to 37 percent).

    Bolstering Obama’s standing is increased optimism about the state of the U.S. economy.

    Read the full poll here (.pdf)

    Forty percent believe the economy will improve during the next year, a three-point increase from January. And looking back at the economic recession, 57 percent say that the worst is behind us, while 36 percent say the worst is still to come.

    Back in November, only 49 percent said the worst was behind us.

    “President Obama is probably in the best political shape he’s been in since his initial year as president,” says Hart, the Democratic pollster.

    The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted from Feb. 29 through March 3 of 800 adults (including 200 by cellphone), and it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.5 percentage points. The poll also contains an oversample of 185 interviews to achieve a total of 400 GOP primary voters, and that margin of error is plus-minus 4.9 percentage points.

    1048 comments

    More like rusted out. No new ideas - just a bunch of meaningless Republican Propaganda (can't feed a family of 4 on that muck).

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  • 4
    Mar
    2012
    9:00am, EST

    NBC News/Marist poll: Santorum, Romney neck and neck in Ohio

    By NBC News Senior Political Editor Mark Murray
    Follow @mmurraypolitics

     

    Two days until Super Tuesday and the pivotal Ohio Republican presidential primary, Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are running neck and neck in the Buckeye State, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll conducted Feb. 29 - March 2.

    Santorum, the former Pennsylvania senator, gets the support of 34 percent of likely GOP primary voters, and Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, gets 32 percent.


     They’re followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 15 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 13 percent.

    "Meet the Press" moderator David Gregory takes a look at a new NBC/Marist College poll that found that a significant number of Republican voters are not pleased with their party's frontrunners for the presidential nomination.

    Full Results (.pdf): Ohio | Virginia

    “I just think it’s going to very close,” Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, says of the Santorum-Romney race in the state.

    That contest in Ohio – one of 11 on Super Tuesday – is significant for both Romney and Santorum. A Romney win, following his victories last week in Michigan and Arizona, would cement his front-runner status and keep him on his path (no matter how rocky it’s been) toward capturing the GOP presidential nomination.

    But a Santorum win would signal that his close second-place finish in Romney’s native state of Michigan wasn’t a fluke, and it would likely ensure that this Republican nomination battle remains competitive — perhaps through April and maybe even June.

    In Ohio, a majority of likely GOP primary voters view Romney as the Republican candidate with the best chance of defeating President Obama in November. And a plurality sees Santorum as the true conservative in the field and as the candidate who best understands their problems.

    What’s more, Santorum performs better with the most conservative voters (Tea Party supporters, evangelical Christians, those describing themselves as “very conservative”), while Romney does better with more moderate voters and those who aren’t Tea Party supporters.

    Yet by a 57 to 36 percent margin, these likely GOP primary voters prefer electability over ideology.

    If Santorum holds an advantage in Ohio, it’s that Romney isn’t running up a large lead with early or absentee voters, like he did in Arizona and Michigan. Among the 11 percent who have voted early in the Buckeye State, according to the poll, Romney leads by four points, 39 to 35 percent.

    Romney holds sizable lead in Virginia

    A separate NBC/Marist of Virginia – another Super Tuesday state – shows Romney with a sizable lead over Ron Paul among likely GOP primary voters, 69 to 26 percent.

    Romney and Paul are the only two Republican presidential candidates who qualified for the ballot in Virginia.

    But Romney would have a smaller lead in a hypothetical matchup featuring the other two candidates. Romney would place at 36 percent, followed by Santorum at 28 percent, Gingrich at 15 percent and Paul at 13 percent.

    In both Ohio and Virginia, a substantial number of Republican primary voters are unsatisfied with the current field of GOP presidential candidates.

    In Ohio, 51 percent say they’re satisfied with the current crop of candidates, while 46 percent would like to see someone else run. In Virginia, 47 percent say they’re satisfied, while 50 percent would like to see others get into the race.

    “This is a very unhappy Republican electorate,” Miringoff says. 

    Obama has the early general-election edge in both states

    And that’s reflected in the head-to-head match ups for the general election in these two important battleground states.

    In Ohio – where President Obama’s approval rating stands at 45 percent – he leads Paul by 10 points among registered voters (48 to 38 percent), Romney by 12 points (50 to 38 percent), Santorum by 14 (50 to 36 percent) and Gingrich by 15 (51 to 36 percent).

    In Virginia – where his approval rating is 51 percent – his leads are even bigger: 17 points over Romney (52 to 35 percent), 21 points over Paul (53 to 32 percent), 22 points over Santorum (54 to 32 percent) and 26 over Gingrich (57 to 31 percent).

    What’s occurring in both states, Miringoff explains, is that Obama is reaching the percentages he won in 2008 – 51 percent in Ohio, 53 percent in Virginia – while Republican voters so far have failed to coalesce around their candidates.

    The NBC News/Marist poll of Ohio was conducted from Feb. 29 - March 2 of 3,079 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 1.8 percentage points) and 820 likely GOP primary voters (plus-minus 3.4 percentage points).

    The NBC/Marist poll of Virginia was conducted from Feb. 29 - March 2 of 2,518 registered voters (plus-minus 2.0 percentage points) and 529 likely GOP primary voters (plus-minus 4.3 percentage points.

    551 comments

    Early voting in Ohio is already dramatically down from 2008. According to a spokesman for the Ohio Secretary of State, about a half million people had already cast ballots in the primary by this time in 2008, compared with 160,000 as of Friday (down 68%). Some county election officers report early  …

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