• MSN
  • Hotmail
  • More
    • Autos
    • My MSN
    • Video
    • Careers & Jobs
    • Personals
    • Weather
    • Delish
    • Quotes
    • White Pages
    • Games
    • Real Estate
    • Wonderwall
    • Horoscopes
    • Shopping
    • Yellow Pages
    • Local Edition
    • Traffic
    • Feedback
    • Maps & Directions
    • Travel
    • Full MSN Index
  • Bing
  • NBCNews.com
  • TODAY
  • Nightly News
  • Rock Center
  • Meet the Press
  • Dateline
  • msnbc
  • Breaking News
  • Newsvine
  • Home
  • US
  • World
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Sports
  • Entertainment
  • Health
  • Tech
  • Science
  • Travel
  • Local
  • Weather
Advertise | AdChoices
  • Recommended: White House defends IRS handling, McConnell asserts 'culture of intimidation'
  • Recommended: IRS official in charge of scrutinizing political groups now heads agency's role in 'Obamacare'
  • Recommended: Acting IRS head apologizes, blames 'foolish mistakes' for targeting of conservative groups
  • Recommended: Obama vows crackdown on sexual assault in military

The latest political headlines powered by NBC News

  • ↓ About this blog
  • ↓ Archives
    • Icons Email E-mail updates
    • Icons Twitter Follow on Twitter
    • Icons Feed Subscribe to RSS
  • 6
    Mar
    2012
    11:25pm, EST

    Analysis: Romney now boasts 3 times the delegates of Gingrich or Santorum

    Mitt Romney picked up a total of six states on Super Tuesday, with Rick Santorum gaining three and Newt Gingrich one. The results, particularly a close race in Ohio, left the contest far from decided. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

    By M. Alex Johnson, msnbc.com

    Updated at 7:47 a.m. ET: Campaigns live and die on the momentum swings of big victories, strong debate performances or debilitating gaffes. But nominations are won with delegates, and in this year's Republican presidential campaign, the math is relentless: Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is starting to pile them up, and faster than any of his rivals.

    That's partly because of the nature of the 2012 race, but it's also because, more than in any other recent campaign, the state Republican parties are doling out their delegates in a variety of ways this year. They've moved away from the more traditional system in which the winner of a congressional district takes most or all of that district's delegates — a winner-take-all approach that has led to the nomination's having been decided after just a few big primaries and caucuses in previous cycles. 

    Romney takes big Ohio prize in close race

    Casual followers of politics might assume that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, for example, won most of the 76 delegates Tuesday night in his home state, Georgia — and he would have under the winner-take-all system. But the Republican National Committee has tried to steer the state parties toward district allocations that more accurately reflect the popular vote.



    M. Alex Johnson

    M. Alex Johnson is a reporter for msnbc.com. Follow him on Twitter and Facebook.


    The upshot is that even though Gingrich won Georgia, according to NBC News' projection Tuesday night, he could end up with fewer than half its delegates. Romney, meanwhile — despite finishing second or third — could come away with a quarter of them or more.

    Math like that made it possible for Romney to hit 323 total delegates, according to NBC News' projections through 12:35 a.m. ET — more than triple the number won by Gingrich (105) and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania (101) and 13½ times those won by Rep. Ron Paul of Texas (24).

    NBC's David Gregory, Chuck Todd and Savannah Guthrie weigh in on the Super Tuesday results, which left the Republican primary race still wide open.

    And it's the kind of math that makes it harder for a non-front-running candidate to make a big leap in delegates, which he could do by winning an upset in a big winner-take-all state.

    Check out the full Super Tuesday results here

    The problem for Santorum and Gingrich is that there are only 12 such opportunities this year, compared to 25 in 2008. That's the number of states — none of them on Super Tuesday — that were running largely winner-take-all contests, while 22 were awarding delegates more along proportional lines.

    Slideshow: Voters head to polls on Super Tuesday

    Mark Humphrey / AP

    See pictures from around America as 11 states hold contests that will award a combined 424 delegates in the Republican primary.

    Launch slideshow

    Patchwork of rules
    (As for the rest of the states, they were waiting for state conventions or were using a combination of the two systems, many of them with unique complications — like Ohio, where delegates were being allocated proportionally unless one candidate won a clear majority, in which case it would switch to winner-take-all. Tennessee was using a similar arrangement, except the winner-take-all trigger wouldn't be pulled unless one candidate won two-thirds of the popular vote.

    (None of this takes into account the three wild-card delegate spots in each district reserved for members of the RNC. Still with us?)

    Boil it all down, and what it means is that having to navigate such a patchwork of rules rewards candidates with well-financed national campaigns that can compete in every state. 

    It rewards Romney, in other words.

    The NBC political unit's guide to Super Tuesday

    Besides having won six contests going in to Tuesday, Romney had also finished second in four of the five others, winning a significant number of delegates in many of them. Besides adding three more wins by mid-evening, he was also running second or was in a virtual tie for the lead in most of the rest of Tuesday's contests that had reported returns.

    Certainly, an unexpected development, like a candidate's withdrawal or a major mistake in a debate, could change the calculus, but as it stands now, the problem for Gingrich and Santorum is that, no matter how good they look in national polls compared to Romney, they're finishing third or fourth too often. 

    Justin Sullivan / Getty Images

    Mitt Romney arrives at a Super Tuesday gathering with his family in Boston.

    Meanwhile, the majority of winner-take-all states, where they theoretically could begin to catch up, are backloaded this year, with most coming in April or later. By that time, Romney could well have taken on the mantle of inevitable nominee, thanks to lackluster but good-enough finishes to keep the delegates ticking into his column.

    Romney all but pointed that out himself at a rally Tuesday night in Boston:

    "Tonight, we are counting up the delegates for the convention — and counting down the days until November," he said.

    300 comments

    We should keep them all as comedians, it will cost us less.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: santorum, gingrich, romney, republican, paul, featured, super-tuesday, campaign-2012, m-alex-johnson
  • 1
    Feb
    2012
    2:54am, EST

    Pro-Ron Paul PAC misses $$$ deadline, blames credit card company

    By Bill Dedman, Investigative Reporter, NBC News

    A Super PAC supporting Ron Paul was the only major presidential fundraising operation to miss Tuesday's federal deadline for disclosing its donors. The Revolution PAC blamed an error by its credit card company.

    Because of bad information provided by the company, the PAC told the Federal Election Commission, it didn't know who its donors were.

    The Super PAC is not the same as the official campaign for Paul, a libertarian and Texas Republican member of Congress. The campaign filed its report on time, and by law the PAC can't coordinate its activities with the campaign, although the PAC is operated by Paul supporters, including his former political director.

    "To Whom It May Concern," the Revolution PAC wrote to the FEC at 11:48 p.m. ET Tuesday, just 12 minutes before the midnight deadline for its legally required report.

    "Please be advised that on the afternoon of Tuesday, Jan 31, Revolution PAC ... was advised by one of its credit card processing vendors that said vendor had provided erroneous information. As a result, credit card donations reported by the vendor and recorded by the PAC were erroneous.

    "As we do not have compete details on the specific donations involved, we are unable to correct our information prior to the filing deadline, and are therefore not filing any report at this time.

    "We will contact our FEC advisor Feb 1 to determine how best to proceed."

    The Super PAC didn't name the credit card company.

    The Revolution PAC has been filing its separate reports of expenditures, and has spent $126,000 so far, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics.

    A profile of the group is available from the Center for Public Integrity, a nonpartisan investigative reporting group. Its leaders include Gary Franchi, Web-TV host and director of Restore the Republic, an online clearinghouse and social media site for Ron Paul followers; Lawrence W. Lepard, Venture capital investor at Equity Management Associates, and Penny Langford Freeman, Paul’s former political director.

    Two other PACs supporting Paul did file their reports on time.

    Endorse Liberty reported $1,020,055 in receipts.

    Nearly all of its revenue, $900,000, came from hedge fund manager Peter Thiel, a founder of PayPal. The group also got $10,000 from Sean Wheeler of Marietta, Ga., CEO of Pure Hypnosis, which sells a hypnotic treatment for smoking addiction.

    A list of the donors to Endorse Liberty is here.

    Another pro-Paul PAC, the Santa Rita Super PAC, reported 234,096 in receipts.

    Donors to Santa Rita include hedge fund manager Mark Hart III and Shannon Hart, of Fort Worth, $100,000; real estate investor Donald Huffines of Dallas, $50,000; and Patrick Walker of Little Rock, $50,000. All listed their occupation as self-employed investor.

    A list of the donors to Santa Rita is here.

    Super PACS are known to the Federal Election Commission as independent committees, because they are forbidden to coordinate their activities with campaigns. Outside the limits of campaign finance laws, Super PACs may raise unlimited sums of money from corporations, unions, associations and individuals. They can use that money to advocate for or against political candidates.

    The Ron Paul presidential campaign organization filed its report on time, showing $26,104,721 in receipts and $24,199,806 in expenditures so far in this election.

    A list of the campaign's 22,956 donors is here.

    Read more about the reports filed Tuesday:

    After TV cameras leave, Romney PAC discloses $18 million

    Casino magnate Adelson's family gave early money to Gingrich PAC

    Spielberg, labor union are big backers of Obama Super PAC

    Perry PAC's $1 million donor got help with nuclear waste dump

    Major GOP Super PAC raised $51 million in 2011

    Not 'Desperate' for cash: Obama lists his big fundraisers

    Sugar Daddy: Huntsman's father gave $1.9 million to Super PAC

    Colbert Super PAC raises $1 million; non-satirical PACs to follow

    220 comments

    You have to wonder if the CC company did that on accident, The Establisment is scared of Ron Paul, because he stands for the constitution the establishment is rigging these elections.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: campaign-finance, paul, featured, election-2012
  • 31
    Jan
    2012
    8:45am, EST

    Colbert Super PAC raises $1 million; non-satirical PACs to follow

    Comedian Stephen Colbert sat down with Rock Center Special Correspondent Ted Koppel to talk about the influence of Super PACs in this year's election.  While joking with Koppel, Colbert also got serious, telling the backstory of how he formed his Super PAC. 

    By Bill Dedman, Investigative Reporter, NBC News

    Tuesday is the day for the so-called Super PACS to file an annual report of donors. NBC News and msnbc.com will be scouring the filings, and posting details. We'll have updates on msnbc.com, and could always use your help identifying the economic and political interests behind the names.

    TV political satirist Stephen Colbert kicked off the reporting by filing a statement showing $1 million in contributions to his group, Americans for A Better Tomorrow, Tomorrow. You can see his announcement and filing here.

    "'Yeah! How you like me now, F.E.C?" Colbert told the Federal Election Commission in a cover letter. "I'm rolling seven digits deep! I got 99 problems but a non-connected independent-expenditure only committee ain't one!''


    "We raised it on my show," Colbert told his fans, "and used it to materially influence the elections -- in full accordance with the law. It's the way our founding fathers would have wanted it, if they had founded corporations instead of just a country."

    Colbert had fun on his show Monday night with some of the bogus names of donors listed on his report: Pat Magroin, Ibin Yerkinoff, and Frumunda Mabalz.

    The political action committees must disclose by midnight tonight who gave them money, and how much they spent to support or oppose candidates in the presidential race, including the Republican candidates and President Obama as well.

    The official deadline for filing is midnight ET (12 a.m. Wednesday), so reports may trickle in. And it wouldn't surprise us if some campaigns file late tonight as attention is focused on voting results in the Florida Republican primary.

    Super PACS are known to the Federal Election Commission as independent committees, because they are forbidden to coordinate their activities with campaigns. Outside the limits of campaign finance laws, Super PACs may raise unlimited sums of money from corporations, unions, associations and individuals. They can use that money to advocate for or against political candidates.

    Read more about the reports filed Tuesday:

    After TV cameras leave, Romney PAC discloses $18 million

    Spielberg, labor union are big backers of Obama Super PAC

    Perry PAC's $1 million donor got help with nuclear waste dump

    Major GOP Super PAC raised $51 million in 2011

    Not 'Desperate' for cash: Obama lists his big fundraisers

    Sugar Daddy: Huntsman's father gave $1.9 million to Super PAC

    569 comments

    What Stephen Colbert has done is exposed how flawed the election system has become, especially at the federal level. When Corporations can be classified as people/persons we as a county have made a wrong turn. I love this quote! “As a friend of mine from Texas says, he will believe corporation …

    Show more
    Explore related topics: santorum, gingrich, campaign-finance, obama, romney, paul, featured, colbert, cain, election-2012
  • 30
    Jan
    2012
    9:07am, EST

    How do we keep candidates from lying over and over?

    By Bill Dedman, Investigative Reporter, NBC News

    Why doesn't the fact-checking come first?

    After a presidential debate, even before the debate has ended, we're able now to read fact-checks from Pulitzer Prize-winning PolitiFact and many news organizations.

    But shouldn't the candidates get their facts straight and tell the truth in the first place?

    "American politics has become a battle of talking points," said Bill Adair, editor of PolitiFact and Washington bureau chief for The Tampa Bay Times. "Once candidates find a talking point they like, they often stick with it — even when fact-checkers say it's wrong."

    Perhaps the first questions in the next presidential debate should be something along these lines...

    For Newt Gingrich:

    Former Speaker Gingrich, in debate after debate, you've taken credit for balancing four federal budgets when you were the speaker of the House. As has been pointed out repeatedly by fact-checking organizations, the four years of balanced budgets were fiscal 1998 through 2001, but you were in office for only the first two of those budgets. You left the House in January 1999 and had no role in crafting the budgets for the subsequent two years. In addition, you opposed the two tax-raising deals that were largely responsible for balancing the budget. (Fact-checks here from The New York Times and here from The Washington Post.)

    Similarly, you said that people can use food stamps "to go to Hawaii," claimed that the ethics charges against you were conducted by "a very partisan political committee," and said that "no federal official at any level is allowed to say 'Merry Christmas.'" 

    All these statements were false, according to PolitiFact.

    PolitiFact scorecard on Gingrich

    Equal-time: Questions for the other candidates are below 

    It's been nearly five years since PolitiFact and a host of similar services started debunking the most outrageous statements. In that time, have the candidates become more honest?

    "Not overall, but we've seen glimpses that they will alter their wording after we've called out a falsehood," Adair said. "For example, the way Newt said the balanced budget line in the last debate was more accurate, because he didn't say the four consecutive years were when he was speaker. So maybe he responded to the fact-checking."

    Here are specific follow-up questions for each of the current Republican candidates, as well as President Barack Obama, based on fact-checking by PolitiFact and the major newspapers:

    For Mitt Romney:
    Former Governor Romney, in every debate so far, you've said something like, "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were a big part of why we have the housing crisis." But studies have shown that Fannie and Freddie were late to invest in subprime mortgages, following the lead of Wall Street firms that you never mention. (Fact-check from The New York Times here and here.) The unspoken narrative in your comments, and those of the other candidates, panders inaccurately to those who want to believe that loans to unworthy minorities, driven by the Community Reinvestment Act, caused the financial crisis. In fact, most subprime loans were made by lenders who were not covered by the CRA, but who were driven by the need for profits to satisfy their Wall Street investors. Are you trying to deflect blame from Wall Street?

    Similarly, you have said repeatedly that President Obama "went around the world and apologized for America," said "I don't have lobbyists running my campaign," and claimed that President Obama's health care law "represents a government takeover of health care."

    All false, according to PolitiFact.

    PolitiFact scorecard for Romney.

    For Rick Santorum:
    Former Senator Santorum, you have repeatedly criticized Gov. Romney's health insurance program in Massachusetts for the so-called individual mandate, for requiring individuals to buy health insurance. Why not mention that in 1994, when you were running for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, you supported an individual mandate.

    Similarly, you said that an Obama administration policy prohibits people who work with at-risk youth from promoting marriage as a way to avoid poverty, claimed that "a third of all the young people in America are not in America today because of abortion," and said, "Any child born prematurely, according to the president, in his own words, can be killed." 

    All false, according to PolitiFact.

    PolitiFact scorecard for Santorum.

    For Ron Paul:
    Representative Paul, you've said that the United States "is bankrupt." The country isn't unable to pay its debts, nor is it impoverished. The credit rating of the United States is AA+ at Standard & Poor's (one step below the top of a 20-step scale), and AAA at the other rating agencies.

    Similarly, you claimed that only a few sentences in your racist and conspiratorial newsletters were inflammatory, that the majority of the American people believe we should go back on the gold standard and that you never vote for legislation unless it's specifically authorized in the Constitution.

    All false, according to PolitiFact.

    PolitiFact scorecard for Paul.

    And in the general election, maybe the first question to the incumbent could start something like this:

    For Barack Obama:
    President Obama, you've said that most of the money for your campaign came from small donors, that you've excluded lobbyists from policy-making jobs, that you haven't raised taxes once.

    All false, according to PolitiFact.

    You've claimed that your opponents plan to cut funding for Israel to zero. PolitiFact rated that claim "Pants on Fire," its lowest rating.

    "One theme we've seen in Obama's statements," says PolitiFact's Bill Adair, "is that he is exaggerating how he has fulfilled promises. We know this, of course, because we keep track of all 500+ promises on our Obameter."

    PolitiFact scorecard for Obama and Obameter keeping track of his campaign policies

    Should the candidates be asked: As you prepare for a debate, is part of your preparation to remind yourself, whatever I say, I should play it straight with the American people? Aren't you embarrassed to repeat statements that any 8th-grader could look up in 20 seconds and discover have been proven untrue? Or do you calculate that it's acceptable to twist the facts to win an election?

    Readers, what do you think? What would make the candidates stick to the facts? Add your comments below. 

    Submit ideas Share your story ideas or documents with Open Channel

    Facebook Follow Bill Dedman on Facebook

    Facebook Follow Open Channel on Facebook

    Twitter Follow Bill Dedman on Twitter

    Twitter Follow Open Channel on Twitter

    E-mail alerts Sign up for e-mail alerts

    793 comments

    PolitiFact itself is unreliable. They find facts, then subjectively skew the results in their ratings. The word "fact" is not the botom line. Their name should be politifactopinion. Reporting facts and arbitrating facts with assumed superiority may not be political, but is arrogant because facts sho …

    Show more
    Explore related topics: santorum, gingrich, obama, romney, paul, featured, election-2012

Browse

  • decision-2012,
  • featured,
  • barack-obama,
  • mitt-romney,
  • first-read,
  • appfeatured,
  • capitol-hill,
  • white-house,
  • economy,
  • first-thoughts,
  • congress,
  • senate,
  • updated,
  • paul-ryan,
  • newt-gingrich,
  • rick-santorum,
  • meet-the-press,
  • joe-biden,
  • foreign-policy,
  • romney-embed,
  • daily-rundown,
  • immigration,
  • supreme-court,
  • commentid-appfeatured,
  • politics,
  • health-care,
  • fl,
  • house,
  • oh,
  • today,
  • veepstakes,
  • michael-obrien,
  • taxes
Also
Advertise | AdChoices

Bill Dedman

Investigative reporter Bill Dedman of NBC News is always looking for good investigative story ideas and documents. Bill received the 1989 Pulitzer Prize for investigative reporting, and has written full time for NBCNews.com since 2006.

Bill Dedman Blogroll

  • Bill's investigative reporting feed on Twitter
  • ABC News The Blotter
  • Center for Investigative Reporting
  • Center for Public Integrity
  • Center for Public Integrity's Paper Trail blog
  • Huffington Post Investigative Fund
  • Investigative Reporters and Editors' Extra! Extra!
  • McClatchey blog Nukes & Spooks
  • New York Times' City Room Records blog
  • New York Times' Open data blog
  • ProPublica
  • ProPublica blog
  • Yahoo! News The Upshot
  • TPM Muckraker
  • Washington Post Investigations
  • WhoWhatWhy forensic journalism
  • New England Center for Investigative Center at Bos
  • Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism
  • Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting
  • Schuster Institute for Investigative Journalism, B
  • MinnPost.com
  • The Washington Independent
  • AU Investivative Reporting Workshop
  • Become a fan on Facebook
  • Follow on Twitter
Have an idea?
Send your ideas and documents for investigative stories.

Archives

  • 2013
    • May (73)
    • April (147)
    • March (156)
    • February (149)
    • January (179)
  • 2012
    • December (169)
    • November (194)
    • October (306)
    • September (262)
    • August (335)
    • July (267)
    • June (288)
    • May (349)
    • April (207)
    • March (190)
    • February (142)
    • January (217)
  • 2011
    • December (184)
    • November (108)

Most Commented

  • Obama calls IRS flap 'inexcusable,' announces resignation of acting IRS chief (3700)
  • White House defends IRS handling, McConnell asserts 'culture of intimidation' (5973)
  • Obama names acting IRS chief, denies knowledge of IRS report (2925)
  • White House aides learned of IRS details in April, but didn't tell Obama (2123)
  • Acting IRS head apologizes, blames 'foolish mistakes' for targeting of conservative groups (3516)
  • First Thoughts: Sidetracked (2441)
  • First Thoughts: Scandal or bureaucratic incompetency? (2093)

Other blogs

  • The Body Odd
  • Cosmic Log
  • Red Tape Chronicles
  • PhotoBlog
  • US News
  • Open Channel

NBCNews.com top stories

3147,10
© 2013 NBCNews.com
  • Politics on NBCNews.com
  • About us
  • Contact
  • Help
  • Site map
  • Careers
  • Closed captioning
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Privacy policy
  • Advertise