Asian-Americans could impact presidential race

NBC's Richard Lui takes a look at how the Asian-American vote is affecting the 2012 presidential campaign.

There are plenty of different voter groups for campaigns to court during this presidential election and, this year, Asian-Americans and Pacific Islanders could impact the outcome in a significant way. In what has been a tight race, a relatively minor investment in these voters could pay large dividends for President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

There are three characteristics to consider about this slice of the electorate: 

Swing State Population Levels
First, Asian-Americans and Pacific Islanders have reached tipping-point population levels in battleground states. 

For example, in Florida, Asian-Americans (single and mixed race) are 3 percent of the population, according to the Asian American Center for Advancing Justice -- small, but Obama won the state by just 2.5 percentage points in 2008. In Nevada, Asian-Americans are 9 percent of the population; Obama won by 12.4 percentage points.  And in Virginia, where they are 7 percent; Obama won by 6.3 percentage points.

Another way to look at it is to total the popular margin of victory Obama had in 2008 in the nine NBC News battleground states.  That’s almost 1.6 million votes. The Asian-American population in those states in 2010 was 2.3 million. After removing children under the age 18, or about 25 percent of the population, the number of Asian-Americans in those states is greater than Obama’s 2008 margin of victory  in these crucial states.

Recommended: On day of data, Romney turns personal

Though 100 percent turnout and voting unanimity is highly unlikely, Virginia and North Carolina epitomize the opportunity. Until Virginia swung blue in 2008, Republican candidates hadn't lost the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.  In North Carolina, up until 2008, Democrats had won only one in the previous 10 elections; Obama eked out a win by only 14,000 votes.  In cases like these, smaller voting blocks, like Asian-Americans tilt the outcome

Undecideds
A second characteristic to consider: Asian-Americans and Pacific Islanders this year are over four times more likely to be undecided than the average voter, according to the National Asian American Survey.  Jon Stewart from “The Daily Show” joked, after all the press and debate to date, you’d have to basically live in a cave not to have been able to make a choice by now. So is it that Asian-Americans are four times more aloof when it comes to politics? Though they do register to vote at a lower rate than average, 2012 is different.  

Video:  Obama surrogate answers town hall questions from Asian-American voters  

Sixty-two percent of them voted for Obama four years ago. But this year, the economy continues to be the biggest issue in the campaign and Asian Americans who own businesses are considering their options. 

Democrat Haresh Bhungalia is undecided. “You have one candidate who wants to raise taxes, which I think is appropriate –  I think that that's necessary in order for us to get back on track. And then we've got one candidate talking about cutting government spending. I think that you have to do both,” Bhungalia said.

Immigration reform is the other top issue Bhungalia cares about. It’s been delayed. Like him, three out of four Asian-American adults were born in a foreign country and are watching the debate on immigration.

Recommended: Obama accuses Romney of shifting positions

The outreach to voters like Bhungalia has not matched the potential payoff. A recent study by APIAVote in association with Lake Research Partners found 23 percent of Asian-Americans had been contacted by the Democratic Party, and 17 percent by the Republican Party, in the last two years. Some community leaders believe both Obama and Romney could do more. Mee Moua of the Asian American Center for Advancing Justice in Washington, D.C. says Asian-Americans need to be considered.

“As we head toward election day, candidates and political parties will step up their voter engagement efforts,” said Moua. “Those who want to succeed will recognize the importance of the Asian-American voter.  Those who ignore us, do so at their own peril.”

At APIAVote’s Presidential Town Hall in Fairfax, Va., in July, neither candidate showed up, sending videos and surrogates instead. The Romney campaign had bumper stickers in several different Asian languages, and both Obama and Romney have Asian-American outreach information on their campaign websites.

Obama’s message to Asian-American voters 

Romney’s message to Asian-American voters  

Donation Rates

A third consideration:  Asian-Americans and Pacific Islanders are not afraid to use their economic muscle. (Despite being half to a third the size, the group’s combined consumer and business spending power of almost $1.2 trillion equals African-Americans and just trails Latinos.) They equaled whites for the highest rate of donation to political campaigns in the last election: 13 percent. This was higher than African-Americans (8 percent) and Latino-Americans (5 percent). As the economy faltered, Asian-Americans so far this cycle have donated at 11 percent. 

These characteristics might be attractive to candidates, but there are challenges. This group is complex: representing 49 different countries of origin and more than 100 languages. And the community leaders don’t always coordinate well given their varied backgrounds and histories.

Video:  Romney surrogate answers town hall questions from Asian-American voters  

Joe Watkins, who was an aide to President George H.W. Bush,  says there is one common denominator: “Asian-Americans like everyone else just want to be considered Americans, and when candidates reach out to them as such, as American voters, I think they're thrilled by that.”

After the landmark 2008 election, enthusiasm has ebbed. Voter ID and registration law battles across the country have cast concerns. And in places like Florida, early registration levels are less than half what they were four years ago. With such serious questions about turnout, Asian-American and Pacific Islanders could be 2012’s ultimate swing vote.

 

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Outstanding, Asian Americans are Patriots. Most are highly educated and work very hard, and pro Republican!

Romney Ryan-2012!

  • 2 votes
Reply#81 - Mon Oct 8, 2012 7:11 PM EDT

Under Obama, unemployment in the Black community is 16%! In the Hispanic community it is 9.9%
In the Asian community it is 4.4%! Why, would Hispanic and African Americans vote for Obama. He has failed America!

Romney Ryan 2012 and beyond,

No more O and Joe! The middle class has been buried under for the last four years!I guess those shovel ready jobs did not work!

  • 2 votes
Reply#82 - Mon Oct 8, 2012 7:18 PM EDT

Historically, unemployment among african-americans has been higher than most other groups so you can't blame this one on Obama.

    #82.1 - Tue Oct 9, 2012 6:55 PM EDT
    Reply

    I don't know if anyone is seeing what I am seeing but it is quite a marvel watching the entire Democratic party unravel right before my eyes. The LIAR thing is not working anymore and only exudes desperate measures. I am tuning them out. I have seen and heard enough of Obama and his failures.

    When the Syria scandal comes to the forefront, and it will before the election, Hillary will be kssing her bid to the White House good-bye as well. I would love to hear dinner conversation with Bill and Hillary right now. At what point will the rest of the Dems jump down off the sinking ship? Really a sight to behold.

    I have seen two of Obama's statements denied by people he claimed backed him up. One came from a Princeton professor who said Romneys math is correct in regards to his tax cut plans and AARP said they DID NOT support Obamacare. I think it's pretty clear who is lying most of the time here. American voters can be dumb but I don't think we are that dumb. Not as dumb as Obama would like us to be.

    Bye bye Barry or whoever you really are.

      Reply#83 - Mon Oct 8, 2012 9:14 PM EDT

      is this damn election almost over? so tired of breaking each ethnicity into little sub-groups so that others of different nationalities can debate on how they will think or vote..here is a simple concept, the title of this article should simply be and this might be a shocker...."All Americans will impact elections" if you are just voting by the simple fact what can govt give me as an Asian, Black, White, Hispanic or whatever then you have miss the mark on what is important...quit thinking with your skin and start using your head...

        Reply#84 - Mon Oct 8, 2012 11:15 PM EDT

        The RIGHT WING DINGS are going to INCREASE the already CRASH CAUSED POVERTY when they create more of the same if not worse of the wrecking CRASH policies that will drive our nation to the RICH and the POOR ONLY.

        These GOP and TEA CRASHERS should not be in GOVERNMENT. Why are they in GOVERNMENT if they KNOW how to fix everything??? They claim they have business experience, but that does not belong in PUBLIC SERVICE like our GOVERNMENT. It belongs out in the FIELD OF FREE MARKET. So again WHY are they in POLITICS??? The REASON is TO PROTECT THEIR WEALTH AND RICH ASS BUDDIES of 1-10% and whomever is at the TOP. That is the ONLY reason. But what bothers me is WHY ARE THEY NOT OUT RUNNING THEIR BUSINESSES OUTSIDE OF GOVERNMENT???? They should be walking the talk get their asses out their and create the JOBS like you say YOU CAN. You do not need to be in GOVERNMENT TO DO THAT, YOU DON'T ANYHOW. SO WHY ARE THEY IN POLITICS???? their is only ONE answer "GREED"!!!!!!!!!

          Reply#85 - Tue Oct 9, 2012 11:21 AM EDT

          A note on Prosperity and Progress.

          Pigotry A Vote for Obama is a Vote for prosperity - Even Republicans should vote for Obama because Democrats' policies tend to produce more national wealth which Republicans have pocketed as much as they can. Just look at the roaring '90s - which produced tons of snobbish Republican millionaires and billionaires. Progress and Prosperity are somewhat different.

          Prosperity does not necessitate that progress occurs but means that a facility such as an Autozone would have its signage removed and replaced with new signs and painted thus creating prosperity for those who did the work on the facility. Prosperity involves only a limited number of people.

          Progress however involves many processes to replace an old system such as creating a natural gas automobile engine to replace a gasoline powered engine. This type of progress involves prosperity because it involves many people where new jobs are created with the resultant output, the Natural Gas Engine (NEG) will create prosperity along other lines such as outboard motors, lawnmower engines, weed whips, model airplane engines, etc. that provide new jobs to many Americans other than a few.

          Basic High School Economics and Business Math.

            Reply#86 - Tue Oct 9, 2012 5:38 PM EDT

            I was married to an Asian, I was just disappointed that a majority are very prejudice against blacks and

            other people of color. She was white or close to yellow color and very narrow minded.

              Reply#87 - Wed Oct 10, 2012 11:18 AM EDT

              Most asians i know dont like Obama.They are pro life and anti abortion Catholics.The country isnt doing to well and they see this also.

              • 2 votes
              Reply#88 - Wed Oct 10, 2012 11:41 AM EDT

              After 230 documented security issues in a 12 month period, and repeated requests for additional security, your Obama administration snubs Mr. Stevens, and even after the
              Rape,torture and murder of Stevens, Mr. Obama stays busy campaigning in Las Vegas and playing grab-ass with Beyonce. Today, while the Stevens family still mourns the death of their loved one, Mr. Obama is still lying about what happened and PROMISES to save BIG BIRD!

              What a @!$%#ing leader !!

              • 1 vote
              Reply#89 - Wed Oct 10, 2012 6:08 PM EDT

              Vote out incumbents across the land, Washington needs a new bunch of idiots running it! Is Obama better than Romney? Who knows but Obama and Biden sure are liars about Benghazi incident! Do you really want someone who puts our embassy people at risk by crowing at the Democratic Convention about killing Bin Laden! Any idiot would know that al Queda would react! They especially wanted to prove their not dead on the anniversary of 9/11 and that they are still a force to be recognized!

                Reply#90 - Wed Oct 17, 2012 6:27 PM EDT
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